Leones FC 20%Draw 28%Envigado 52%Expected goals 0.73 – 1.41
80%
Betarazi pick
Envigado or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 53% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultEnvigado to win ✓52% · @1.95
Double chanceEnvigado or draw ✓80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.69
Leones FC vs Envigado: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Leones FC welcome Envigado to Estadio Metropolitano Ciudad de Itagui for a Primera B fixture on Wednesday 11 March (21:30 WAT). In the table, Leones FC are 16th, in the drop zone, on 14 points after 15 matches; Envigado are 1st (leading the league) with 7.
Current form
Leones FC, last 3: DLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Depor FC, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Leones FC 0.7 xG, Envigado 1.4 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 62%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Leones FC 20%, draw 28%, Envigado 52%.
Lower-risk option: Envigado or draw (80%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 53%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Envigado or draw (80%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Leones FC 0–1 Envigado. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Leones FC20%fair 4.96 · @3.75
Draw28%fair 3.62 · @3.10
Envigado52%fair 1.91 · @1.95
2.15Expected goals
0.73Leones FC xG
1.41Envigado xG
53%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–117%
1–112%
0–012%
0–212%
1–09%
1–29%
From our goals model: Leones FC 0.7 – 1.4 Envigado expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Leones FC
Envigado
Attack vs Primera B average
-22%
+14%
Goals conceded vs average
+31%
-21%
Our expected goals here
0.71
1.45
Our own ratings from every Primera B result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Envigado to win✓
52%
1.91
1.95
Double chance
Envigado or draw✓
80%
1.25
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.88
2.00 ▲
Draw no bet
Envigado (draw no bet)✓
72%
1.39
–
Asian handicap
Leones FC +1 (Asian handicap)✗
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
1.44
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
62%
1.61
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.18
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.07
–
First team to score
Envigado to score first✓
58%
1.72
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Envigado / FT Envigado✓
32%
3.16
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.69
–
Recent results
Leones FC – last 3
DLW
3 Mar
@ Depor FC
0–0
D
27 Feb
vs Ind. Yumbo
0–2
L
21 Feb
@ Real Cartagena
3–2
W
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Envigado – last 2
WL
5 Mar
vs Popayan
1–0
W
24 Feb
vs Quindio
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Leones FC and Envigado.
Our pick is Envigado or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Leones FC vs Envigado?
On our numbers Leones FC have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Envigado 52%.
How many goals will there be in Leones FC vs Envigado?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Leones FC vs Envigado?
Our predicted score is Leones FC 0–1 Envigado, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Leones FC vs Envigado?
Leones FC vs Envigado (Primera B) kicks off on Wednesday 11 March 2026 at 21:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Metropolitano Ciudad de Itagui.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
