Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.35 – our chance 50% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultASA to win ✗64% · @1.37
Double chanceASA or draw ✗87% · @1.03
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · @2.35
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.62
ASA vs Operario Ferroviario: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Operario Ferroviario travel to face ASA on Thursday 26 February in the Copa Do Brasil – the ball rolls at 00:00 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give ASA 1.8 xG, Operario Ferroviario 0.7 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 50%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – ASA 64%, draw 23%, Operario Ferroviario 13%.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 2.35.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.35 – the bookmaker implies 43%, our ratings say 50%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: ASA 1–0 Operario Ferroviario. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
ASA64%fair 1.55 · @1.37
Draw23%fair 4.37 · @4.20
Operario Ferroviario13%fair 7.83 · @8.40
2.50Expected goals
1.75ASA xG
0.74Operario Ferroviario xG
50%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: ASA 1.8 – 0.7 Operario Ferroviario expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
ASA to win✗
64%
1.55
1.37
Double chance
ASA or draw✗
87%
1.15
1.03
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
50%
2.00
2.35 ▲
Draw no bet
ASA (draw no bet)✗
83%
1.20
–
Asian handicap
ASA -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.82
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
ASA to score first
64%
1.55
–
Half-time result
ASA ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT ASA / FT ASA✗
38%
2.60
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.62
–
Recent results
ASA – last 1
W
22 Feb
vs Murici Fc
3–0
W
3.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Operario Ferroviario – last 1
D
22 Feb
@ Naviraiense
0–0
D
0.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between ASA and Operario Ferroviario.
What is the prediction for ASA vs Operario Ferroviario?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win ASA vs Operario Ferroviario?
On our numbers ASA have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Operario Ferroviario 13%.
How many goals will there be in ASA vs Operario Ferroviario?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for ASA vs Operario Ferroviario?
Our predicted score is ASA 1–0 Operario Ferroviario, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is ASA vs Operario Ferroviario?
ASA vs Operario Ferroviario (Copa Do Brasil) kicks off on Thursday 26 February 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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