Value bet: Draw @ 2.84 – our chance 40% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultDraw ✓40% · @2.84
Double chanceMixto or draw ✓73% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.53
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · @1.11
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–0 ✗12% · fair 8.13
Mixto vs Botafogo PB: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Botafogo PB travel to face Mixto on Thursday 26 February in the Copa Do Brasil, with Estádio Eurico Gaspar Dutra the venue – the ball rolls at 01:00 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mixto 1.0 xG, Botafogo PB 1.1 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 66%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mixto 34%, draw 40%, Botafogo PB 27%.
Lower-risk option: Mixto or draw (73%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.53.
Price worth noting: Draw @2.84 – the bookmaker implies 35%, our ratings say 40%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Mixto or draw (73%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mixto 1–1 Botafogo PB. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mixto34%fair 2.98 · @2.08
Draw40%fair 2.52 · @2.84
Botafogo PB27%fair 3.74 · @3.85
2.10Expected goals
1.04Mixto xG
1.05Botafogo PB xG
49%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–114%
0–113%
1–013%
0–012%
1–27%
2–17%
From our goals model: Mixto 1.0 – 1.1 Botafogo PB expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Draw✓
40%
2.52
2.84 ▲
Double chance
Mixto or draw✓
73%
1.37
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.96
1.53
Draw no bet
Mixto (draw no bet)
56%
1.80
–
Asian handicap
Mixto +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
1.62
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
1.11
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
94%
1.07
–
First team to score
Botafogo PB to score first✗
44%
2.27
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
49%
2.05
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
21%
4.83
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–0✗
12%
8.13
–
Recent results
Mixto – last 2
DL
23 Feb
@ Ec Vitoria W
2–2
D
13 Feb
vs Flamengo W
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Botafogo PB – last 2
DW
22 Feb
vs Serra Branca
1–1
D
19 Feb
vs Treze
2–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mixto and Botafogo PB.
Our pick is Mixto or draw with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Mixto vs Botafogo PB?
On our numbers Mixto have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 40% and Botafogo PB 27%.
How many goals will there be in Mixto vs Botafogo PB?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mixto vs Botafogo PB?
Our predicted score is Mixto 1–1 Botafogo PB, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Mixto vs Botafogo PB?
Mixto vs Botafogo PB (Copa Do Brasil) kicks off on Thursday 26 February 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Eurico Gaspar Dutra.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.