Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.45 – our chance 52% vs 41% implied by the price (edge +29%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSão Bernardo to win ✓71% · @1.19
Double chanceSão Bernardo or draw ✓89% · fair 1.13
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.45
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.33
São Bernardo vs Atlético Alagoinhas: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
00:00 WAT, Thursday 26 February: São Bernardo v Atlético Alagoinhas in the Copa Do Brasil, played at Estádio Primeiro de Maio.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give São Bernardo 2.1 xG, Atlético Alagoinhas 0.8 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 56% for three or more goals, 52% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – São Bernardo 71%, draw 18%, Atlético Alagoinhas 11%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.45.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.45 – the bookmaker implies 41%, our ratings say 52%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: São Bernardo 2–0 Atlético Alagoinhas. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
São Bernardo71%fair 1.42 · @1.19
Draw18%fair 5.57 · @5.50
Atlético Alagoinhas11%fair 8.76 · @14.50
2.93Expected goals
2.14São Bernardo xG
0.80Atlético Alagoinhas xG
52%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–012%
1–011%
2–110%
1–19%
3–09%
3–17%
From our goals model: São Bernardo 2.1 – 0.8 Atlético Alagoinhas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
São Bernardo to win✓
71%
1.42
1.19
Double chance
São Bernardo or draw✓
89%
1.13
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.91
2.45 ▲
Draw no bet
São Bernardo (draw no bet)✓
86%
1.16
–
Asian handicap
São Bernardo -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.79
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.42
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
First team to score
São Bernardo to score first✓
69%
1.45
–
Half-time result
São Bernardo ahead at half-time✓
49%
2.03
–
Half-time / full-time
HT São Bernardo / FT São Bernardo✓
45%
2.24
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.33
–
Recent results
São Bernardo – last 1
L
16 Feb
vs Corinthians
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Atlético Alagoinhas – last 2
LD
22 Feb
vs Bahia
2–4
L
15 Feb
vs Porto BA
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between São Bernardo and Atlético Alagoinhas.
What is the prediction for São Bernardo vs Atlético Alagoinhas?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win São Bernardo vs Atlético Alagoinhas?
On our numbers São Bernardo have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Atlético Alagoinhas 11%.
How many goals will there be in São Bernardo vs Atlético Alagoinhas?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for São Bernardo vs Atlético Alagoinhas?
Our predicted score is São Bernardo 2–0 Atlético Alagoinhas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is São Bernardo vs Atlético Alagoinhas?
São Bernardo vs Atlético Alagoinhas (Copa Do Brasil) kicks off on Thursday 26 February 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Primeiro de Maio.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Águia de Marabá2
Independência0
ASA1
Operario Ferroviario2
Caxias0
Guarany de Bagé1
Mixto1
Botafogo PB1