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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Tochigi City v Shonan Bellmare: numbers & prediction

J2 League · Japan · City Football Station

Shonan Bellmare

Tochigi City 29%Draw 26%Shonan Bellmare 45% Expected goals 1.20 – 1.55

73%

Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.33 · Won ✓

8/10Rating

1.33Odds

Picks by market

ResultShonan Bellmare to win ✓45% · @2.25

Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.28

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.70

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.33

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.85

Tochigi City vs Shonan Bellmare: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Shonan Bellmare travel to face Tochigi City on Saturday 28 February in the J2 League, with City Football Station the venue – the ball rolls at 06:00 WAT. In the table, Tochigi City are 18th, in the drop zone, on 12 points after 16 matches; Shonan Bellmare are 10th (upper half) with 23.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Tochigi City 1.2 xG, Shonan Bellmare 1.6 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 57%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Tochigi City 29%, draw 26%, Shonan Bellmare 45%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.70.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tochigi City 1–1 Shonan Bellmare. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Tochigi City29%fair 3.46 · @2.90

Draw26%fair 3.80 · @3.20

Shonan Bellmare45%fair 2.23 · @2.25

2.76Expected goals

1.20Tochigi City xG

1.55Shonan Bellmare xG

57%Both score

49%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%

0–110%

1–29%

0–28%

1–08%

2–17%

From our goals model: Tochigi City 1.2 – 1.6 Shonan Bellmare expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

	Tochigi City	Shonan Bellmare
Attack vs J2 League average	+1%	-15%
Goals conceded vs average	+37%	-24%
Our expected goals here	1.08	1.40

Our own ratings from every J2 League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Shonan Bellmare to win ✓	45%	2.23	2.25
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	74%	1.36	1.28
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	57%	1.76	1.70
Draw no bet	Shonan Bellmare (draw no bet) ✓	61%	1.65	–
Asian handicap	Tochigi City +1 (Asian handicap) ✗	70%	1.42	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	73%	1.36	1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✗	51%	1.98	1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	71%	1.40	1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	85%	1.17	–
First team to score	Shonan Bellmare to score first ✓	53%	1.89	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	42%	2.41	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Shonan Bellmare / FT Shonan Bellmare ✓	27%	3.69	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	9%	10.85	–

Recent results

Tochigi City – last 2

22 Feb	@ Yokohama FC	1–5	L
15 Feb	vs Blaublitz Akita	0–1	L

0.5Scored / game

3.0Conceded / game

50%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Shonan Bellmare – last 2

21 Feb	vs Vanraure Hachinohe	1–0	W
14 Feb	vs Sagamihara	4–0	W

2.5Scored / game

0.0Conceded / game

0%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Tochigi City and Shonan Bellmare.

Tochigi City vs Shonan Bellmare head-to-head page →

J2 League table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Albirex Niigata	16	10	2	4	-1	32
2	Yokohama FC	16	9	4	3	+15	31
3	Kataller Toyama	16	9	4	3	+14	31
4	Vegalta Sendai	16	9	3	4	+13	30
5	Omiya Ardija	16	8	6	2	+12	30
6	Tegevajaro Miyazaki	16	8	5	3	+9	29
7	Consadole Sapporo	16	8	2	6	+3	26
8	Iwaki	16	7	2	7	+4	23
9	Jubilo Iwata	16	6	5	5	+2	23
10	Shonan Bellmare	16	5	8	3	+1	23
11	Oita Trinita	16	5	7	4	+5	22
12	Blaublitz Akita	16	5	5	6	0	20
13	Sagan Tosu	16	6	2	8	-3	20
14	Montedio Yamagata	16	6	1	9	-2	19
15	Tokushima Vortis	16	5	2	9	-5	17
16	Fujieda MYFC	16	3	7	6	-4	16
17	Vanraure Hachinohe	16	4	2	10	-15	14
18	Tochigi City	16	3	3	10	-10	12
19	Imabari	16	3	3	10	-16	12
20	Ventforet Kofu	16	3	3	10	-22	12

More J2 League predictions

League hub

–

Vegalta Sendai0

Vanraure Hachinohe0 Pens 5–4 161%1.77X23%3.35216%4.20 1.8–0.7xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 75%@1.28 ✓

Thespakusatsu Gunma3

Blaublitz Akita2 124%3.95X25%3.40251%1.80 1.1–1.5xG X2Blaublitz Akita or draw 76%@1.22 ✗

–

Jubilo Iwata0

Fukushima United0 Pens 5–3 162%1.30X22%4.75216%8.25 2.0–1.1xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 62%@1.48 ✗

Consadole Sapporo1

FC Gifu2 156%1.80X25%3.35218%4.00 1.7–0.9xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 73%@1.28 ✓

Parceiro Nagano1

Omiya Ardija2 115%7.50X20%4.60266%1.33 1.0–2.2xG 2Omiya Ardija to win 66%@1.33 ✓

Ventforet Kofu1

Matsumoto Yamaga0 144%1.77X24%3.45231%4.10 1.3–1.4xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 74%@1.28 ✗

–

Kataller Toyama0

Osaka0 Pens 6–5 157%1.77X24%3.35219%4.20 1.9–0.9xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 74%@1.33 ✗

Sagan Tosu0

Kagoshima United1 138%2.10X28%3.20234%3.25 1.3–1.3xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 73%@1.28 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Tochigi City vs Shonan Bellmare?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.

Who will win Tochigi City vs Shonan Bellmare?

On our numbers Tochigi City have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Shonan Bellmare 45%.

How many goals will there be in Tochigi City vs Shonan Bellmare?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Tochigi City vs Shonan Bellmare?

Our predicted score is Tochigi City 1–1 Shonan Bellmare, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Tochigi City vs Shonan Bellmare?

Tochigi City vs Shonan Bellmare (J2 League) kicks off on Saturday 28 February 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at City Football Station.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.