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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Ventforet Kofu v Matsumoto Yamaga: numbers & prediction

J2 League · Japan · JIT Recycle Ink Stadium

Matsumoto Yamaga

Ventforet Kofu 44%Draw 24%Matsumoto Yamaga 31% Expected goals 1.28 – 1.40

74%

Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.28 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating

1.28Odds

Value bet: Matsumoto Yamaga to win @ 4.10 – our chance 31% vs 24% implied by the price (edge +29%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultVentforet Kofu to win ✓44% · @1.77

Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.22

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.73

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74% · @1.28

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.71

Ventforet Kofu vs Matsumoto Yamaga: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

06:00 WAT, Saturday 28 February: Ventforet Kofu v Matsumoto Yamaga in the J2 League, played at JIT Recycle Ink Stadium.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Ventforet Kofu 1.3 xG, Matsumoto Yamaga 1.4 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 57%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Ventforet Kofu 44%, draw 24%, Matsumoto Yamaga 31%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Matsumoto Yamaga to win @4.10 – the bookmaker implies 24%, our ratings say 31%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ventforet Kofu 1–1 Matsumoto Yamaga. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Ventforet Kofu44%fair 2.27 · @1.77

Draw24%fair 4.09 · @3.45

Matsumoto Yamaga31%fair 3.18 · @4.10

2.69Expected goals

1.28Ventforet Kofu xG

1.40Matsumoto Yamaga xG

57%Both score

51%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%

0–110%

1–09%

1–29%

2–18%

0–07%

From our goals model: Ventforet Kofu 1.3 – 1.4 Matsumoto Yamaga expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

	Ventforet Kofu	Matsumoto Yamaga
Attack vs J2 League average	-28%	+5%
Goals conceded vs average	+23%	-11%
Our expected goals here	0.90	1.55

Our own ratings from every J2 League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Ventforet Kofu to win ✓	44%	2.27	1.77
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	76%	1.32	1.22
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	57%	1.74	1.73
Draw no bet	Ventforet Kofu (draw no bet) ✓	58%	1.71	–
Asian handicap	Ventforet Kofu +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	60%	1.66	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✗	74%	1.36	1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✗	51%	1.98	1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	71%	1.41	1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	86%	1.16	–
First team to score	Matsumoto Yamaga to score first ✗	49%	2.05	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	42%	2.36	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Matsumoto Yamaga / FT Matsumoto Yamaga ✗	23%	4.29	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	8%	12.71	–

Recent results

Ventforet Kofu – last 1

14 Feb

vs Parceiro Nagano

2–0

2.0Scored / game

0.0Conceded / game

0%Both scored

0%Over 2.5

Matsumoto Yamaga – last 2

21 Feb	@ Jubilo Iwata	2–1	W
14 Feb	@ Fujieda MYFC	0–2	L

1.0Scored / game

1.5Conceded / game

50%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Ventforet Kofu and Matsumoto Yamaga.

Ventforet Kofu vs Matsumoto Yamaga head-to-head page →

J2 League table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Albirex Niigata	16	10	2	4	-1	32
2	Yokohama FC	16	9	4	3	+15	31
3	Kataller Toyama	16	9	4	3	+14	31
4	Vegalta Sendai	16	9	3	4	+13	30
5	Omiya Ardija	16	8	6	2	+12	30
6	Tegevajaro Miyazaki	16	8	5	3	+9	29
7	Consadole Sapporo	16	8	2	6	+3	26
8	Iwaki	16	7	2	7	+4	23
9	Jubilo Iwata	16	6	5	5	+2	23
10	Shonan Bellmare	16	5	8	3	+1	23
11	Oita Trinita	16	5	7	4	+5	22
12	Blaublitz Akita	16	5	5	6	0	20
13	Sagan Tosu	16	6	2	8	-3	20
14	Montedio Yamagata	16	6	1	9	-2	19
15	Tokushima Vortis	16	5	2	9	-5	17
16	Fujieda MYFC	16	3	7	6	-4	16
17	Vanraure Hachinohe	16	4	2	10	-15	14
18	Tochigi City	16	3	3	10	-10	12
19	Imabari	16	3	3	10	-16	12
20	Ventforet Kofu	16	3	3	10	-22	12

More J2 League predictions

League hub

–

Vegalta Sendai0

Vanraure Hachinohe0 Pens 5–4 161%1.77X23%3.35216%4.20 1.8–0.7xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 75%@1.28 ✓

Tochigi City1

Shonan Bellmare3 129%2.90X26%3.20245%2.25 1.2–1.6xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 73%@1.33 ✓

Thespakusatsu Gunma3

Blaublitz Akita2 124%3.95X25%3.40251%1.80 1.1–1.5xG X2Blaublitz Akita or draw 76%@1.22 ✗

–

Jubilo Iwata0

Fukushima United0 Pens 5–3 162%1.30X22%4.75216%8.25 2.0–1.1xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 62%@1.48 ✗

Consadole Sapporo1

FC Gifu2 156%1.80X25%3.35218%4.00 1.7–0.9xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 73%@1.28 ✓

Parceiro Nagano1

Omiya Ardija2 115%7.50X20%4.60266%1.33 1.0–2.2xG 2Omiya Ardija to win 66%@1.33 ✓

–

Kataller Toyama0

Osaka0 Pens 6–5 157%1.77X24%3.35219%4.20 1.9–0.9xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 74%@1.33 ✗

Sagan Tosu0

Kagoshima United1 138%2.10X28%3.20234%3.25 1.3–1.3xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 73%@1.28 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ventforet Kofu vs Matsumoto Yamaga?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Ventforet Kofu vs Matsumoto Yamaga?

On our numbers Ventforet Kofu have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Matsumoto Yamaga 31%.

How many goals will there be in Ventforet Kofu vs Matsumoto Yamaga?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Ventforet Kofu vs Matsumoto Yamaga?

Our predicted score is Ventforet Kofu 1–1 Matsumoto Yamaga, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Ventforet Kofu vs Matsumoto Yamaga?

Ventforet Kofu vs Matsumoto Yamaga (J2 League) kicks off on Saturday 28 February 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at JIT Recycle Ink Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.