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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Parceiro Nagano v Omiya Ardija: numbers & prediction

J2 League · Japan · Nagano U Stadium

Omiya Ardija

Parceiro Nagano 15%Draw 20%Omiya Ardija 66% Expected goals 1.05 – 2.19

66%

Betarazi pick

Omiya Ardija to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.33 · Won ✓

6/10Rating

1.33Odds

Picks by market

ResultOmiya Ardija to win ✓66% · @1.33

Double chanceOmiya Ardija or draw ✓85% · @1.04

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.77

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · @1.17

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓10% · fair 10.14

Parceiro Nagano vs Omiya Ardija: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 28 February the J2 League brings Parceiro Nagano against Omiya Ardija at Nagano U Stadium. Kick-off: 06:00 WAT.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Parceiro Nagano 1.0 xG, Omiya Ardija 2.2 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 62% for three or more goals, 57% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Parceiro Nagano 15%, draw 20%, Omiya Ardija 66%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.77.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Omiya Ardija to win (66%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Parceiro Nagano 1–2 Omiya Ardija. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Parceiro Nagano15%fair 6.86 · @7.50

Draw20%fair 5.13 · @4.60

Omiya Ardija66%fair 1.52 · @1.33

3.24Expected goals

1.05Parceiro Nagano xG

2.19Omiya Ardija xG

57%Both score

62%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–210%

0–29%

1–19%

0–19%

1–37%

0–37%

From our goals model: Parceiro Nagano 1.0 – 2.2 Omiya Ardija expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

	Parceiro Nagano	Omiya Ardija
Attack vs J2 League average	-11%	+41%
Goals conceded vs average	+25%	-6%
Our expected goals here	1.17	2.11

Our own ratings from every J2 League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Omiya Ardija to win ✓	66%	1.52	1.33
Double chance	Omiya Ardija or draw ✓	85%	1.17	1.04
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	57%	1.75	1.77
Draw no bet	Omiya Ardija (draw no bet) ✓	82%	1.22	–
Asian handicap	Omiya Ardija -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	63%	1.58	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	82%	1.22	1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	62%	1.62	1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	60%	1.66	1.53
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	77%	1.30	1.22
First team to score	Omiya Ardija to score first	65%	1.54	–
Half-time result	Omiya Ardija ahead at half-time ✗	47%	2.14	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Omiya Ardija / FT Omiya Ardija ✗	41%	2.43	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✓	10%	10.14	–

Recent results

Parceiro Nagano – last 1

14 Feb

@ Ventforet Kofu

0–2

0.0Scored / game

2.0Conceded / game

0%Both scored

0%Over 2.5

Omiya Ardija – last 2

21 Feb	vs Fukushima United	6–0	W
14 Feb	vs Consadole Sapporo	3–2	W

4.5Scored / game

1.0Conceded / game

50%Both scored

100%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Parceiro Nagano and Omiya Ardija.

Parceiro Nagano vs Omiya Ardija head-to-head page →

J2 League table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Albirex Niigata	16	10	2	4	-1	32
2	Yokohama FC	16	9	4	3	+15	31
3	Kataller Toyama	16	9	4	3	+14	31
4	Vegalta Sendai	16	9	3	4	+13	30
5	Omiya Ardija	16	8	6	2	+12	30
6	Tegevajaro Miyazaki	16	8	5	3	+9	29
7	Consadole Sapporo	16	8	2	6	+3	26
8	Iwaki	16	7	2	7	+4	23
9	Jubilo Iwata	16	6	5	5	+2	23
10	Shonan Bellmare	16	5	8	3	+1	23
11	Oita Trinita	16	5	7	4	+5	22
12	Blaublitz Akita	16	5	5	6	0	20
13	Sagan Tosu	16	6	2	8	-3	20
14	Montedio Yamagata	16	6	1	9	-2	19
15	Tokushima Vortis	16	5	2	9	-5	17
16	Fujieda MYFC	16	3	7	6	-4	16
17	Vanraure Hachinohe	16	4	2	10	-15	14
18	Tochigi City	16	3	3	10	-10	12
19	Imabari	16	3	3	10	-16	12
20	Ventforet Kofu	16	3	3	10	-22	12

More J2 League predictions

League hub

–

Vegalta Sendai0

Vanraure Hachinohe0 Pens 5–4 161%1.77X23%3.35216%4.20 1.8–0.7xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 75%@1.28 ✓

Tochigi City1

Shonan Bellmare3 129%2.90X26%3.20245%2.25 1.2–1.6xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 73%@1.33 ✓

Thespakusatsu Gunma3

Blaublitz Akita2 124%3.95X25%3.40251%1.80 1.1–1.5xG X2Blaublitz Akita or draw 76%@1.22 ✗

–

Jubilo Iwata0

Fukushima United0 Pens 5–3 162%1.30X22%4.75216%8.25 2.0–1.1xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 62%@1.48 ✗

Consadole Sapporo1

FC Gifu2 156%1.80X25%3.35218%4.00 1.7–0.9xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 73%@1.28 ✓

Ventforet Kofu1

Matsumoto Yamaga0 144%1.77X24%3.45231%4.10 1.3–1.4xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 74%@1.28 ✗

–

Kataller Toyama0

Osaka0 Pens 6–5 157%1.77X24%3.35219%4.20 1.9–0.9xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 74%@1.33 ✗

Sagan Tosu0

Kagoshima United1 138%2.10X28%3.20234%3.25 1.3–1.3xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 73%@1.28 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Parceiro Nagano vs Omiya Ardija?

Our pick is Omiya Ardija to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.

Who will win Parceiro Nagano vs Omiya Ardija?

On our numbers Parceiro Nagano have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Omiya Ardija 66%.

How many goals will there be in Parceiro Nagano vs Omiya Ardija?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Parceiro Nagano vs Omiya Ardija?

Our predicted score is Parceiro Nagano 1–2 Omiya Ardija, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is Parceiro Nagano vs Omiya Ardija?

Parceiro Nagano vs Omiya Ardija (J2 League) kicks off on Saturday 28 February 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Nagano U Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.