Kataller Toyama vs Osaka: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 28 February the J2 League brings Kataller Toyama against Osaka at Toyama Stadium. Kick-off: 06:00 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Kataller Toyama 1.9 xG, Osaka 0.9 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Kataller Toyama 57%, draw 24%, Osaka 19%.
Lower-risk option: Kataller Toyama or draw (81%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kataller Toyama 2–0 Osaka. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Kataller Toyama57%fair 1.76 · @1.77
Draw24%fair 4.17 · @3.35
Osaka19%fair 5.17 · @4.20
2.85Expected goals
1.91Kataller Toyama xG
0.94Osaka xG
58%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–011%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%
From our goals model: Kataller Toyama 1.9 – 0.9 Osaka expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Kataller Toyama
Osaka
Attack vs J2 League average
+39%
-19%
Goals conceded vs average
-24%
-11%
Our expected goals here
1.72
0.75
Our own ratings from every J2 League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kataller Toyama to win✗
57%
1.76
1.77
Double chance
Kataller Toyama or draw✓
81%
1.24
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.72
1.80
Draw no bet
Kataller Toyama (draw no bet)
75%
1.34
–
Asian handicap
Osaka +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
74%
1.35
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.98
2.00
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
First team to score
Kataller Toyama to score first✗
63%
1.59
–
Half-time result
Kataller Toyama ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kataller Toyama / FT Kataller Toyama✗
38%
2.64
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.08
–
Recent results
Kataller Toyama – last 2
WW
22 Feb
@ Tokushima Vortis
3–1
W
15 Feb
@ Kamatamare Sanuki
5–1
W
4.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Osaka – last 1
L
22 Feb
@ Imabari
0–2
L
0.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kataller Toyama and Osaka.
What is the prediction for Kataller Toyama vs Osaka?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Kataller Toyama vs Osaka?
On our numbers Kataller Toyama have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Osaka 19%.
How many goals will there be in Kataller Toyama vs Osaka?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kataller Toyama vs Osaka?
Our predicted score is Kataller Toyama 2–0 Osaka, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Kataller Toyama vs Osaka?
Kataller Toyama vs Osaka (J2 League) kicks off on Saturday 28 February 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Toyama Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.