Consadole Sapporo v Matsumoto Yamaga Prediction & Expected Goals (18 Apr) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultConsadole Sapporo to win ✓43% · @2.05

Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.22

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.67

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 11.02

Consadole Sapporo vs Matsumoto Yamaga: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Matsumoto Yamaga travel to face Consadole Sapporo on Saturday 18 April in the J2 League, with Sapporo Atsubetsu Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 05:00 WAT.

Current form

Consadole Sapporo, last 5: LLWWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Ventforet Kofu, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Matsumoto Yamaga, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Omiya Ardija, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. 2.8 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Momentum favours Matsumoto Yamaga, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.0 for Consadole Sapporo.

Head to head

When they last met (7 Mar 2026) it ended Matsumoto Yamaga 3–0 Consadole Sapporo.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Consadole Sapporo 1.5 xG, Matsumoto Yamaga 1.2 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Consadole Sapporo 43%, draw 25%, Matsumoto Yamaga 32%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.67.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Consadole Sapporo 1–1 Matsumoto Yamaga. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Consadole Sapporo43%fair 2.33 · @2.05

Draw25%fair 4.01 · @3.55

Matsumoto Yamaga32%fair 3.10 · @3.00

2.71Expected goals

1.50Consadole Sapporo xG

1.21Matsumoto Yamaga xG

59%Both score

51%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%

1–010%

2–19%

0–18%

2–08%

1–27%

From our goals model: Consadole Sapporo 1.5 – 1.2 Matsumoto Yamaga expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

	Consadole Sapporo	Matsumoto Yamaga
Attack vs J2 League average	+13%	+5%
Goals conceded vs average	-17%	-11%
Our expected goals here	1.40	1.04

Consadole Sapporo

Matsumoto Yamaga

Attack vs J2 League average

+13%

+5%

Goals conceded vs average

-17%

-11%

Our expected goals here

1.40

1.04

Our own ratings from every J2 League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Consadole Sapporo to win ✓	43%	2.33	2.05
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	75%	1.33	1.22
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	59%	1.71	1.67
Draw no bet	Consadole Sapporo (draw no bet) ✓	57%	1.75	–
Asian handicap	Matsumoto Yamaga +1 (Asian handicap)	72%	1.39	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	75%	1.34	1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	51%	1.96	1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	71%	1.42	1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	86%	1.16	–
First team to score	Consadole Sapporo to score first ✓	52%	1.93	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	42%	2.38	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Consadole Sapporo / FT Consadole Sapporo ✓	26%	3.83	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✓	9%	11.02	–

Market

Most likely

Chance

Fair odds

Bookmaker

Match result

Consadole Sapporo to win ✓

43%

2.33

2.05

Double chance

Either team to win ✓

75%

1.33

1.22

Both teams to score

Both teams to score ✓

59%

1.71

1.67

Draw no bet

Consadole Sapporo (draw no bet) ✓

57%

1.75

–

Asian handicap

Matsumoto Yamaga +1 (Asian handicap)

72%

1.39

–

Over/under 1.5 goals

Over 1.5 goals ✓

75%

1.34

1.25

Over/under 2.5 goals

Over 2.5 goals ✓

51%

1.96

1.83

Over/under 3.5 goals

Under 3.5 goals ✓

71%

1.42

1.33

Over/under 4.5 goals

Under 4.5 goals ✓

86%

1.16

–

First team to score

Consadole Sapporo to score first ✓

52%

1.93

–

Half-time result

Level at half-time ✗

42%

2.38

–

Half-time / full-time

HT Consadole Sapporo / FT Consadole Sapporo ✓

26%

3.83

–

Correct score

Correct score 2–1 ✓

11.02

–

Recent results

Head to head

J2 League table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Albirex Niigata	16	10	2	4	-1	32
2	Yokohama FC	16	9	4	3	+15	31
3	Kataller Toyama	16	9	4	3	+14	31
4	Vegalta Sendai	16	9	3	4	+13	30
5	Omiya Ardija	16	8	6	2	+12	30
6	Tegevajaro Miyazaki	16	8	5	3	+9	29
7	Consadole Sapporo	16	8	2	6	+3	26
8	Iwaki	16	7	2	7	+4	23
9	Jubilo Iwata	16	6	5	5	+2	23
10	Shonan Bellmare	16	5	8	3	+1	23
11	Oita Trinita	16	5	7	4	+5	22
12	Blaublitz Akita	16	5	5	6	0	20
13	Sagan Tosu	16	6	2	8	-3	20
14	Montedio Yamagata	16	6	1	9	-2	19
15	Tokushima Vortis	16	5	2	9	-5	17
16	Fujieda MYFC	16	3	7	6	-4	16
17	Vanraure Hachinohe	16	4	2	10	-15	14
18	Tochigi City	16	3	3	10	-10	12
19	Imabari	16	3	3	10	-16	12
20	Ventforet Kofu	16	3	3	10	-22	12

Team

Pts

-1

+15

+14

+13

+12

-3

-2

-5

-4

-15

-10

-16

-22

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Consadole Sapporo vs Matsumoto Yamaga?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Consadole Sapporo vs Matsumoto Yamaga?

On our numbers Consadole Sapporo have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Matsumoto Yamaga 32%.

How many goals will there be in Consadole Sapporo vs Matsumoto Yamaga?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Consadole Sapporo vs Matsumoto Yamaga?

Our predicted score is Consadole Sapporo 1–1 Matsumoto Yamaga, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Consadole Sapporo vs Matsumoto Yamaga?

Consadole Sapporo vs Matsumoto Yamaga (J2 League) kicks off on Saturday 18 April 2026 at 05:00 (West Africa Time) at Sapporo Atsubetsu Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

11 Apr	@ Ventforet Kofu	1–2	L
4 Apr	vs Fukushima United	0–2	L
21 Mar	vs Ventforet Kofu	1–0	W
14 Mar	@ Jubilo Iwata	1–0	W
7 Mar	@ Matsumoto Yamaga	0–3	L
28 Feb	vs FC Gifu	1–2	L

12 Apr	vs Omiya Ardija	4–1	W
29 Mar	@ Fukushima United	3–1	W
14 Mar	@ Parceiro Nagano	5–0	W
7 Mar	vs Consadole Sapporo	3–0	W
28 Feb	@ Ventforet Kofu	0–1	L
21 Feb	@ Jubilo Iwata	2–1	W

Consadole Sapporo v Matsumoto Yamaga: numbers & prediction