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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Omiya Ardija v Jubilo Iwata: numbers & prediction

J2 League · Japan · NACK5 Stadium Omiya

Omiya Ardija

LWLWL
1–2
FT

Jubilo Iwata

WLLLL
Omiya Ardija 55%Draw 25%Jubilo Iwata 20% Expected goals 1.77 – 1.05
76%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.32 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultOmiya Ardija to win ✗55% · @1.68
Double chanceOmiya Ardija or draw ✗80% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.20

Omiya Ardija vs Jubilo Iwata: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 18 April the J2 League brings Omiya Ardija against Jubilo Iwata at NACK5 Stadium Omiya. Kick-off: 06:00 WAT. In the table, Omiya Ardija are 5th, upper half, on 30 points after 16 matches; Jubilo Iwata are 9th (upper half) with 23.

Current form

Omiya Ardija, last 5: LWLWL Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Matsumoto Yamaga, away. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Jubilo Iwata, last 5: WLLLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Ventforet Kofu, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Momentum favours Omiya Ardija, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.5 for Jubilo Iwata.

Head to head

When they last met (21 Mar 2026) it ended Jubilo Iwata 1–4 Omiya Ardija.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Omiya Ardija 1.8 xG, Jubilo Iwata 1.1 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Omiya Ardija 55%, draw 25%, Jubilo Iwata 20%.
  • Lower-risk option: Omiya Ardija or draw (80%) at 1.15.
  • GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.70.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Omiya Ardija 1–1 Jubilo Iwata. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Omiya Ardija55%fair 1.82 · @1.68
Draw25%fair 3.93 · @3.60
Jubilo Iwata20%fair 5.07 · @4.40
2.82Expected goals
1.77Omiya Ardija xG
1.05Jubilo Iwata xG
58%Both score
53%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–011%
2–110%
2–09%
0–16%
0–06%

From our goals model: Omiya Ardija 1.8 – 1.1 Jubilo Iwata expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Omiya ArdijaJubilo Iwata
Attack vs J2 League average+41%-5%
Goals conceded vs average-6%-17%
Our expected goals here1.641.07

Our own ratings from every J2 League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultOmiya Ardija to win ✗55%1.821.68
Double chanceOmiya Ardija or draw ✗80%1.251.15
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓58%1.711.70
Draw no betOmiya Ardija (draw no bet) ✗74%1.36–
Asian handicapJubilo Iwata +1 (Asian handicap) ✓60%1.66–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76%1.321.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓53%1.891.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓69%1.451.36
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓84%1.18–
First team to scoreOmiya Ardija to score first ✓59%1.70–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗40%2.48–
Half-time / full-timeHT Omiya Ardija / FT Omiya Ardija ✗33%2.99–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.20–

Recent results

Omiya Ardija – last 6

LWLWLW
12 Apr@ Matsumoto Yamaga1–4L
4 Aprvs FC Gifu3–0W
28 Mar@ Ventforet Kofu1–2L
21 Mar@ Jubilo Iwata4–1W
14 Marvs Fujieda MYFC1–2L
28 Feb@ Parceiro Nagano2–1W
2.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Jubilo Iwata – last 6

WLLLLL
4 Aprvs Ventforet Kofu1–0W
29 Mar@ Iwaki0–1L
21 Marvs Omiya Ardija1–4L
14 Marvs Consadole Sapporo0–1L
21 Febvs Matsumoto Yamaga1–2L
15 Feb@ FC Gifu1–2L
0.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

21 Mar 2026Jubilo Iwata v Omiya Ardija1–4
Omiya Ardija vs Jubilo Iwata head-to-head page →

J2 League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Albirex Niigata161024-132
2Yokohama FC16943+1531
3Kataller Toyama16943+1431
4Vegalta Sendai16934+1330
5Omiya Ardija16862+1230
6Tegevajaro Miyazaki16853+929
7Consadole Sapporo16826+326
8Iwaki16727+423
9Jubilo Iwata16655+223
10Shonan Bellmare16583+123
11Oita Trinita16574+522
12Blaublitz Akita16556020
13Sagan Tosu16628-320
14Montedio Yamagata16619-219
15Tokushima Vortis16529-517
16Fujieda MYFC16376-416
17Vanraure Hachinohe164210-1514
18Tochigi City163310-1012
19Imabari163310-1612
20Ventforet Kofu163310-2212

More J2 League predictions

League hub
FT Consadole Sapporo2 Matsumoto Yamaga1 143%2.05X25%3.55232%3.00 1.5–1.2xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 75%@1.25 ✓
FT Renofa Yamaguchi2 Kagoshima United1 134%2.80X27%3.20239%2.33 1.1–1.2xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 79%@1.20 ✓
FT Shonan Bellmare1 Thespakusatsu Gunma2 159%1.48X24%3.65217%6.75 1.8–1.0xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 73%@1.36 ✓
FT Vegalta Sendai5 Tochigi City0 168%1.48X20%4.00213%5.75 2.3–0.9xG 1Vegalta Sendai to win 68%@1.48 ✓
FT Ventforet Kofu0 Fujieda MYFC1 138%2.10X27%3.25235%3.20 1.2–1.3xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 76%@1.25 ✓
FT Albirex Niigata1 Imabari0 150%2.20X25%3.10225%3.10 1.6–1.0xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 75%@1.22 ✓
FT Tokushima Vortis2 Kanazawa1 153%1.50X27%3.55220%6.50 1.5–1.0xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 74%@1.28 ✓
– Nara Club1 Kamatamare Sanuki1 Pens 4–2 147%2.35X24%3.20229%2.80 1.8–1.2xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 76%@1.33 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Omiya Ardija vs Jubilo Iwata?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Omiya Ardija vs Jubilo Iwata?

On our numbers Omiya Ardija have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Jubilo Iwata 20%.

How many goals will there be in Omiya Ardija vs Jubilo Iwata?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Omiya Ardija vs Jubilo Iwata?

Our predicted score is Omiya Ardija 1–1 Jubilo Iwata, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Omiya Ardija vs Jubilo Iwata?

Omiya Ardija vs Jubilo Iwata (J2 League) kicks off on Saturday 18 April 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at NACK5 Stadium Omiya.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.