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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Renofa Yamaguchi v Kagoshima United: numbers & prediction

J2 League · Japan · Ishin Me-Life Stadium

Renofa Yamaguchi

WLWLW
2–1
FT

Kagoshima United

WWWWW
Renofa Yamaguchi 34%Draw 27%Kagoshima United 39% Expected goals 1.12 – 1.23
79%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.93 – our chance 55% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultKagoshima United to win ✗39% · @2.33
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.39

Renofa Yamaguchi vs Kagoshima United: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Renofa Yamaguchi welcome Kagoshima United to Ishin Me-Life Stadium for a J2 League fixture on Saturday 18 April (05:40 WAT).

Current form

Renofa Yamaguchi, last 5: WLWLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Oita Trinita, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Kagoshima United, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Gainare Tottori, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Kagoshima United, collecting 3.0 points per game to 1.5 for Renofa Yamaguchi.

Head to head

When they last met (22 Feb 2026) it ended Kagoshima United 1–0 Renofa Yamaguchi.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Renofa Yamaguchi 1.1 xG, Kagoshima United 1.2 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 55%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Renofa Yamaguchi 34%, draw 27%, Kagoshima United 39%.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.93.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.93 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 55%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (79%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Renofa Yamaguchi 1–1 Kagoshima United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Renofa Yamaguchi34%fair 2.95 · @2.80
Draw27%fair 3.75 · @3.20
Kagoshima United39%fair 2.54 · @2.33
2.35Expected goals
1.12Renofa Yamaguchi xG
1.23Kagoshima United xG
55%Both score
41%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–112%
1–011%
0–010%
1–28%
2–17%

From our goals model: Renofa Yamaguchi 1.1 – 1.2 Kagoshima United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Renofa YamaguchiKagoshima United
Attack vs J2 League average+11%+5%
Goals conceded vs average+0%-25%
Our expected goals here1.151.26

Our own ratings from every J2 League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultKagoshima United to win ✗39%2.542.33
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73%1.361.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓55%1.821.93 ▲
Draw no betKagoshima United (draw no bet) ✗54%1.86–
Asian handicapRenofa Yamaguchi +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.63–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓67%1.491.42
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗59%1.701.57
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79%1.271.20
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓91%1.10–
First team to scoreKagoshima United to score first47%2.11–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓46%2.19–
Half-time / full-timeHT Kagoshima United / FT Kagoshima United ✗22%4.53–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%12.39–

Recent results

Renofa Yamaguchi – last 6

WLWLWL
11 Apr@ Oita Trinita2–1W
5 Apr@ Tegevajaro Miyazaki0–3L
29 Marvs Oita Trinita3–1W
22 Marvs Kitakyushu0–1L
7 Marvs Sagan Tosu2–0W
22 Feb@ Kagoshima United0–1L
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Kagoshima United – last 6

WWWWWW
12 Aprvs Gainare Tottori3–1W
29 Mar@ Roasso Kumamoto1–0W
15 Marvs Biwako Shiga1–0W
28 Feb@ Sagan Tosu1–0W
22 Febvs Renofa Yamaguchi1–0W
15 Febvs FC Ryukyu3–1W
1.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

22 Feb 2026Kagoshima United v Renofa Yamaguchi1–0
Renofa Yamaguchi vs Kagoshima United head-to-head page →

More J2 League predictions

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FT Consadole Sapporo2 Matsumoto Yamaga1 143%2.05X25%3.55232%3.00 1.5–1.2xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 75%@1.25 ✓
FT Shonan Bellmare1 Thespakusatsu Gunma2 159%1.48X24%3.65217%6.75 1.8–1.0xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 73%@1.36 ✓
FT Vegalta Sendai5 Tochigi City0 168%1.48X20%4.00213%5.75 2.3–0.9xG 1Vegalta Sendai to win 68%@1.48 ✓
FT Omiya Ardija1 Jubilo Iwata2 155%1.68X25%3.60220%4.40 1.8–1.1xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 76%@1.25 ✓
FT Ventforet Kofu0 Fujieda MYFC1 138%2.10X27%3.25235%3.20 1.2–1.3xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 76%@1.25 ✓
FT Albirex Niigata1 Imabari0 150%2.20X25%3.10225%3.10 1.6–1.0xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 75%@1.22 ✓
FT Tokushima Vortis2 Kanazawa1 153%1.50X27%3.55220%6.50 1.5–1.0xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 74%@1.28 ✓
– Nara Club1 Kamatamare Sanuki1 Pens 4–2 147%2.35X24%3.20229%2.80 1.8–1.2xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 76%@1.33 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Renofa Yamaguchi vs Kagoshima United?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Renofa Yamaguchi vs Kagoshima United?

On our numbers Renofa Yamaguchi have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Kagoshima United 39%.

How many goals will there be in Renofa Yamaguchi vs Kagoshima United?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Renofa Yamaguchi vs Kagoshima United?

Our predicted score is Renofa Yamaguchi 1–1 Kagoshima United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Renofa Yamaguchi vs Kagoshima United?

Renofa Yamaguchi vs Kagoshima United (J2 League) kicks off on Saturday 18 April 2026 at 05:40 (West Africa Time) at Ishin Me-Life Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.