Value bet: Albirex Niigata to win @ 2.20 – our chance 50% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultAlbirex Niigata to win ✓50% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.50
Albirex Niigata vs Imabari: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 18 April the J2 League brings Albirex Niigata against Imabari at Denka Big Swan Stadium. Kick-off: 06:00 WAT. In the table, Albirex Niigata are 1st, leading the league, on 32 points after 16 matches; Imabari are 19th (in the drop zone) with 12. There are 20 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Albirex Niigata, last 5: LLWWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Kochi United, away. Goals for and against: 1.6 scored, 1.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Imabari, last 5: LWLLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Ehime FC, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Head to head
When they last met (1 Mar 2026) it ended Imabari 0–2 Albirex Niigata.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Albirex Niigata 1.6 xG, Imabari 1.0 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Albirex Niigata 50%, draw 25%, Imabari 25%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Albirex Niigata to win @2.20 – the bookmaker implies 45%, our ratings say 50%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Albirex Niigata 1–0 Imabari. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Albirex Niigata50%fair 1.99 · @2.20
Draw25%fair 4.04 · @3.10
Imabari25%fair 3.99 · @3.10
2.57Expected goals
1.61Albirex Niigata xG
0.96Imabari xG
54%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
1–112%
2–010%
2–110%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: Albirex Niigata 1.6 – 1.0 Imabari expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Albirex Niigata
Imabari
Attack vs J2 League average
+12%
-18%
Goals conceded vs average
+4%
+27%
Our expected goals here
1.97
1.02
Our own ratings from every J2 League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
What is the prediction for Albirex Niigata vs Imabari?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Albirex Niigata vs Imabari?
On our numbers Albirex Niigata have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Imabari 25%.
How many goals will there be in Albirex Niigata vs Imabari?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Albirex Niigata vs Imabari?
Our predicted score is Albirex Niigata 1–0 Imabari, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Albirex Niigata vs Imabari?
Albirex Niigata vs Imabari (J2 League) kicks off on Saturday 18 April 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Denka Big Swan Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Matsumoto Yamaga1
Renofa Yamaguchi2
Kagoshima United1
Thespakusatsu Gunma2
Kanazawa1
Nara Club1
Kamatamare Sanuki1