Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 53% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultShonan Bellmare to win ✗59% · @1.48
Double chanceShonan Bellmare or draw ✗83% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @2.10
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.14
Shonan Bellmare vs Thespakusatsu Gunma: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Thespakusatsu Gunma travel to face Shonan Bellmare on Saturday 18 April in the J2 League, with Lemon Gas Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 06:00 WAT.
Current form
Shonan Bellmare, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Blaublitz Akita, away. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Thespakusatsu Gunma, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 1–5 defeat to Tochigi SC, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Shonan Bellmare, collecting 3.0 points per game to 0.5 for Thespakusatsu Gunma.
Head to head
When they last met (20 Mar 2026) it ended Thespakusatsu Gunma 0–2 Shonan Bellmare.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Shonan Bellmare 1.8 xG, Thespakusatsu Gunma 1.0 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 53%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Shonan Bellmare 59%, draw 24%, Thespakusatsu Gunma 17%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.10.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 53%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Shonan Bellmare 1–1 Thespakusatsu Gunma. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Shonan Bellmare59%fair 1.70 · @1.48
Draw24%fair 4.14 · @3.65
Thespakusatsu Gunma17%fair 5.86 · @6.75
2.81Expected goals
1.81Shonan Bellmare xG
1.00Thespakusatsu Gunma xG
53%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–011%
2–110%
2–010%
0–16%
0–06%
From our goals model: Shonan Bellmare 1.8 – 1.0 Thespakusatsu Gunma expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Shonan Bellmare
Thespakusatsu Gunma
Attack vs J2 League average
-15%
+17%
Goals conceded vs average
-24%
+39%
Our expected goals here
1.64
1.07
Our own ratings from every J2 League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
What is the prediction for Shonan Bellmare vs Thespakusatsu Gunma?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Shonan Bellmare vs Thespakusatsu Gunma?
On our numbers Shonan Bellmare have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Thespakusatsu Gunma 17%.
How many goals will there be in Shonan Bellmare vs Thespakusatsu Gunma?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Shonan Bellmare vs Thespakusatsu Gunma?
Our predicted score is Shonan Bellmare 1–1 Thespakusatsu Gunma, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Shonan Bellmare vs Thespakusatsu Gunma?
Shonan Bellmare vs Thespakusatsu Gunma (J2 League) kicks off on Saturday 18 April 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Lemon Gas Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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