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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Flora II v Maardu: numbers & prediction

Esiliiga A · Estonia · Sportland Arena
1–3
FT

Maardu

LWDWW
Flora II 57%Draw 18%Maardu 24% Expected goals 2.38 – 1.55
57%
Betarazi pick

Flora II to win

Fair pick · fair odds 1.74 · bookmaker 1.67 · Lost ✗

4/10Rating
1.67Odds

Picks by market

ResultFlora II to win ✗57% · @1.67
Double chanceEither team to win ✓82% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · fair 1.66
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓77% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.62

Flora II vs Maardu: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Maardu travel to face Flora II on Saturday 18 July in the Esiliiga A, with Sportland Arena the venue – the ball rolls at 17:00 WAT. In the table, Flora II are 5th, upper half, on 52 points after 35 matches; Maardu are 6th (lower half) with 45.

Current form

Flora II, last 5: DLLDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Nõmme United II, away. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Maardu, last 5: LWDWW Their latest outing: 1–8 defeat to Tartu Welco, at home. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.

Head to head

When they last met (9 Jul 2026) it ended Maardu 3–2 Flora II. The last 3 head-to-heads: Flora II 1 win, Maardu 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 3.3 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Flora II 2.4 xG, Maardu 1.6 xG – a total near 3.9. That is an open game on paper: 77% for three or more goals, 60% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Flora II 57%, draw 18%, Maardu 24%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Flora II to win (57%, odds 1.67). Most likely score in line with that pick: Flora II 2–1 Maardu. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Flora II57%fair 1.74 · @1.67
Draw18%fair 5.42 · @4.50
Maardu24%fair 4.13 · @3.40
3.94Expected goals
2.38Flora II xG
1.55Maardu xG
60%Both score
77%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–19%
1–17%
3–17%
2–27%
1–26%
2–06%

From our goals model: Flora II 2.4 – 1.6 Maardu expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFlora II to win ✗57%1.741.67
Double chanceEither team to win ✓82%1.231.12
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓60%1.66–
Draw no betFlora II (draw no bet) ✗70%1.42–
Asian handicapMaardu +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓64%1.55–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓90%1.11–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓77%1.291.17
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✓55%1.80–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓64%1.56–
First team to scoreFlora II to score first59%1.68–
Half-time resultFlora II ahead at half-time ✗44%2.29–
Half-time / full-timeHT Flora II / FT Flora II ✗36%2.76–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.62–

Recent results

Flora II – last 6

DLLDWW
12 Jul@ Nõmme United II1–1D
9 Jul@ Maardu2–3L
5 Julvs FCI Levadia II0–4L
30 Jun@ Nõmme United II3–3D
22 Jun@ Elva3–0W
18 Jun@ FC Tallinn3–1W
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Maardu – last 6

LWDWWL
13 Julvs Tartu Welco1–8L
9 Julvs Flora II3–2W
3 Jul@ Tallinna Kalev3–3D
22 Junvs Viimsi1–0W
18 Junvs Nõmme Kalju II2–1W
11 Jun@ Elva3–4L
2.2Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

9 Jul 2026Maardu v Flora II3–2
1 May 2026Flora II v Maardu5–0
15 Feb 2026Maardu v Flora II0–0
Flora II vs Maardu head-to-head page →

Esiliiga A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Tartu Welco362556+5980
2Viimsi3618711+3761
3FCI Levadia II3518314+1257
4Elva36151011055
5Flora II3515713+1652
6Maardu3312912-1545
7Tallinna Kalev3511816-541
8FC Tallinn3611817-3541
9Nõmme United II3611718-1440
10Nõmme Kalju II366624-5524

More Esiliiga A predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Flora II vs Maardu?

Our pick is Flora II to win with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.

Who will win Flora II vs Maardu?

On our numbers Flora II have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Maardu 24%.

How many goals will there be in Flora II vs Maardu?

We expect about 3.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 77% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Flora II vs Maardu?

Our predicted score is Flora II 2–1 Maardu, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.9 goals in total.

When is Flora II vs Maardu?

Flora II vs Maardu (Esiliiga A) kicks off on Saturday 18 July 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Sportland Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.