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Tallinna Kalev v Nõmme United II: numbers & prediction

Esiliiga A · Estonia · Kadrioru Staadion
3–1
FT
Tallinna Kalev 54%Draw 20%Nõmme United II 26% Expected goals 2.36 – 1.61
77%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.30 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.20Odds

Picks by market

ResultTallinna Kalev to win ✓54% · @1.83
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · fair 1.73
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓77% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.79

Tallinna Kalev vs Nõmme United II: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Tallinna Kalev welcome Nõmme United II to Kadrioru Staadion for a Esiliiga A fixture on Saturday 18 July (17:00 WAT). In the table, Tallinna Kalev are 7th, lower half, on 41 points after 35 matches; Nõmme United II are 9th (in the drop zone) with 40. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Tallinna Kalev, last 5: LDWWL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to FCI Levadia II, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Nõmme United II, last 5: DLDLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Flora II, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 3.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Tallinna Kalev, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.3 for Nõmme United II.

Head to head

When they last met (18 Jun 2026) it ended Nõmme United II 1–2 Tallinna Kalev. The last 2 head-to-heads: Tallinna Kalev 1 win, Nõmme United II 0, draws 1. Those games averaged 5.5 goals and saw GG land 2 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Tallinna Kalev 2.4 xG, Nõmme United II 1.6 xG – a total near 4.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 77% and GG at 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Tallinna Kalev 54%, draw 20%, Nõmme United II 26%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (77%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tallinna Kalev 2–1 Nõmme United II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Tallinna Kalev54%fair 1.84 · @1.83
Draw20%fair 4.98 · @4.20
Nõmme United II26%fair 3.91 · @3.00
3.96Expected goals
2.36Tallinna Kalev xG
1.61Nõmme United II xG
58%Both score
77%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–18%
1–17%
2–27%
3–17%
1–26%
3–25%

From our goals model: Tallinna Kalev 2.4 – 1.6 Nõmme United II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultTallinna Kalev to win ✓54%1.841.83
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80%1.251.17
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓58%1.73–
Draw no betTallinna Kalev (draw no bet) ✓68%1.47–
Asian handicapNõmme United II +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗66%1.52–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓91%1.10–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓77%1.301.20
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✓56%1.79–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓64%1.57–
First team to scoreTallinna Kalev to score first ✓58%1.71–
Half-time resultTallinna Kalev ahead at half-time ✓43%2.35–
Half-time / full-timeHT Tallinna Kalev / FT Tallinna Kalev ✓35%2.86–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%11.79–

Recent results

Tallinna Kalev – last 6

LDWWLL
11 Jul@ FCI Levadia II2–3L
3 Julvs Maardu3–3D
21 Junvs Nõmme Kalju II5–1W
18 Jun@ Nõmme United II2–1W
14 Jun@ Flora II1–3L
31 Mayvs FCI Levadia II1–2L
2.3Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Nõmme United II – last 6

DLDLLL
12 Julvs Flora II1–1D
4 Jul@ FC Tallinn3–4L
30 Junvs Flora II3–3D
21 Jun@ Tartu Welco2–5L
18 Junvs Tallinna Kalev1–2L
15 Jun@ Nõmme Kalju II1–4L
1.8Scored / game
3.2Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

18 Jun 2026Nõmme United II v Tallinna Kalev1–2
1 May 2026Tallinna Kalev v Nõmme United II4–4
Tallinna Kalev vs Nõmme United II head-to-head page →

Esiliiga A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Tartu Welco362556+5980
2Viimsi3618711+3761
3FCI Levadia II3518314+1257
4Elva36151011055
5Flora II3515713+1652
6Maardu3312912-1545
7Tallinna Kalev3511816-541
8FC Tallinn3611817-3541
9Nõmme United II3611718-1440
10Nõmme Kalju II366624-5524

More Esiliiga A predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Tallinna Kalev vs Nõmme United II?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Tallinna Kalev vs Nõmme United II?

On our numbers Tallinna Kalev have a 54% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Nõmme United II 26%.

How many goals will there be in Tallinna Kalev vs Nõmme United II?

We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 77% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Tallinna Kalev vs Nõmme United II?

Our predicted score is Tallinna Kalev 2–1 Nõmme United II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.

When is Tallinna Kalev vs Nõmme United II?

Tallinna Kalev vs Nõmme United II (Esiliiga A) kicks off on Saturday 18 July 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Kadrioru Staadion.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.