Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · fair 1.73
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓77% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.79
Tallinna Kalev vs Nõmme United II: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Tallinna Kalev welcome Nõmme United II to Kadrioru Staadion for a Esiliiga A fixture on Saturday 18 July (17:00 WAT). In the table, Tallinna Kalev are 7th, lower half, on 41 points after 35 matches; Nõmme United II are 9th (in the drop zone) with 40. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Tallinna Kalev, last 5: LDWWL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to FCI Levadia II, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Nõmme United II, last 5: DLDLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Flora II, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 3.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Tallinna Kalev, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.3 for Nõmme United II.
Head to head
When they last met (18 Jun 2026) it ended Nõmme United II 1–2 Tallinna Kalev. The last 2 head-to-heads: Tallinna Kalev 1 win, Nõmme United II 0, draws 1. Those games averaged 5.5 goals and saw GG land 2 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Tallinna Kalev 2.4 xG, Nõmme United II 1.6 xG – a total near 4.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 77% and GG at 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Tallinna Kalev 54%, draw 20%, Nõmme United II 26%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (77%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tallinna Kalev 2–1 Nõmme United II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Tallinna Kalev54%fair 1.84 · @1.83
Draw20%fair 4.98 · @4.20
Nõmme United II26%fair 3.91 · @3.00
3.96Expected goals
2.36Tallinna Kalev xG
1.61Nõmme United II xG
58%Both score
77%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–18%
1–17%
2–27%
3–17%
1–26%
3–25%
From our goals model: Tallinna Kalev 2.4 – 1.6 Nõmme United II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Tallinna Kalev vs Nõmme United II?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Tallinna Kalev vs Nõmme United II?
On our numbers Tallinna Kalev have a 54% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Nõmme United II 26%.
How many goals will there be in Tallinna Kalev vs Nõmme United II?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 77% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tallinna Kalev vs Nõmme United II?
Our predicted score is Tallinna Kalev 2–1 Nõmme United II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is Tallinna Kalev vs Nõmme United II?
Tallinna Kalev vs Nõmme United II (Esiliiga A) kicks off on Saturday 18 July 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Kadrioru Staadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.