Value bet: FCI Levadia II to win @ 1.95 – our chance 60% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultFCI Levadia II to win ✓60% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓83% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · fair 1.76
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗77% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.37
Nõmme Kalju II vs FCI Levadia II: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Nõmme Kalju II welcome FCI Levadia II to Hiiu Stadium for a Esiliiga A fixture on Saturday 18 July (17:00 WAT). In the table, Nõmme Kalju II are 10th, in the drop zone, on 24 points after 36 matches; FCI Levadia II are 3rd (among the top four) with 57. There are 33 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Nõmme Kalju II, last 5: DDLLW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Viimsi, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.
FCI Levadia II, last 5: WWWLW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Tallinna Kalev, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.7 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours FCI Levadia II, collecting 2.5 points per game to 0.8 for Nõmme Kalju II.
Head to head
When they last met (11 May 2026) it ended Nõmme Kalju II 1–0 FCI Levadia II.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Nõmme Kalju II 1.3 xG, FCI Levadia II 2.6 xG – a total near 3.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 77% and GG at 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Nõmme Kalju II 23%, draw 17%, FCI Levadia II 60%.
Price worth noting: FCI Levadia II to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (77%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nõmme Kalju II 1–2 FCI Levadia II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Nõmme Kalju II23%fair 4.33 · @2.75
Draw17%fair 6.05 · @4.20
FCI Levadia II60%fair 1.66 · @1.95
3.95Expected goals
1.31Nõmme Kalju II xG
2.64FCI Levadia II xG
57%Both score
77%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–29%
1–38%
0–27%
1–17%
0–36%
2–26%
From our goals model: Nõmme Kalju II 1.3 – 2.6 FCI Levadia II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Nõmme Kalju II vs FCI Levadia II?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Nõmme Kalju II vs FCI Levadia II?
On our numbers Nõmme Kalju II have a 23% chance of winning, the draw 17% and FCI Levadia II 60%.
How many goals will there be in Nõmme Kalju II vs FCI Levadia II?
We expect about 3.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 77% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nõmme Kalju II vs FCI Levadia II?
Our predicted score is Nõmme Kalju II 1–2 FCI Levadia II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.9 goals in total.
When is Nõmme Kalju II vs FCI Levadia II?
Nõmme Kalju II vs FCI Levadia II (Esiliiga A) kicks off on Saturday 18 July 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Hiiu Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
