Tartu Welco 83%Draw 10%FC Tallinn 7%Expected goals 3.42 – 0.94
93%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.07 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
–Odds
Picks by market
ResultTartu Welco to win ✗83% · @1.08
Double chanceTartu Welco or draw ✗93% · fair 1.07
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · fair 1.85
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗80% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–1 ✗8% · fair 12.49
Tartu Welco vs FC Tallinn: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
FC Tallinn travel to face Tartu Welco on Saturday 18 July in the Esiliiga A, with Holm Jalgpallipark the venue – the ball rolls at 17:00 WAT. In the table, Tartu Welco are 1st, leading the league, on 80 points after 36 matches; FC Tallinn are 8th (in the drop zone) with 41. There are 39 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Tartu Welco, last 5: WDWWW Their latest outing: 8–1 win over Maardu, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. 4.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
FC Tallinn, last 5: LWLLL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Elva, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 3.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Tartu Welco, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.0 for FC Tallinn.
Head to head
When they last met (13 Jun 2026) it ended Tartu Welco 4–0 FC Tallinn. The last 2 head-to-heads: Tartu Welco 2 wins, FC Tallinn 0, draws 0. Those games averaged 3.0 goals.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Tartu Welco 3.4 xG, FC Tallinn 0.9 xG – a total near 4.4. That is an open game on paper: 80% for three or more goals, 54% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Tartu Welco 83%, draw 10%, FC Tallinn 7%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (93%). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tartu Welco 3–0 FC Tallinn. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Tartu Welco83%fair 1.21 · @1.08
Draw10%fair 9.65 · @12.00
FC Tallinn7%fair 14.47 · @19.00
4.36Expected goals
3.42Tartu Welco xG
0.94FC Tallinn xG
54%Both score
80%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
3–09%
3–18%
2–07%
4–07%
2–17%
4–17%
From our goals model: Tartu Welco 3.4 – 0.9 FC Tallinn expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Tartu Welco vs FC Tallinn?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 93% chance.
Who will win Tartu Welco vs FC Tallinn?
On our numbers Tartu Welco have a 83% chance of winning, the draw 10% and FC Tallinn 7%.
How many goals will there be in Tartu Welco vs FC Tallinn?
We expect about 4.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 80% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tartu Welco vs FC Tallinn?
Our predicted score is Tartu Welco 3–0 FC Tallinn, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.4 goals in total.
When is Tartu Welco vs FC Tallinn?
Tartu Welco vs FC Tallinn (Esiliiga A) kicks off on Saturday 18 July 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Holm Jalgpallipark.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
