Atletico Goianiense 53%Draw 26%Athletic Club 21%Expected goals 1.48 – 0.82
79%
Betarazi pick
Atletico Goianiense or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.05 – our chance 52% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAtletico Goianiense to win ✗53% · @1.90
Double chanceAtletico Goianiense or draw ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.12
Atletico Goianiense vs Athletic Club: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Atletico Goianiense welcome Athletic Club to Estádio Antônio Accioly for a Serie B fixture on Saturday 18 July (22:00 WAT). In the table, Atletico Goianiense are 8th, upper half, on 58 points after 37 matches; Athletic Club are 14th (lower half) with 47.
Current form
Atletico Goianiense, last 5: WLWDD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Fortaleza EC, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Athletic Club, last 5: DLWLD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Ceara, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Momentum favours Atletico Goianiense, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.0 for Athletic Club.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Atletico Goianiense 1.5 xG, Athletic Club 0.8 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 52%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Atletico Goianiense 53%, draw 26%, Athletic Club 21%.
Lower-risk option: Atletico Goianiense or draw (79%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.05.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.05 – the bookmaker implies 49%, our ratings say 52%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Atletico Goianiense or draw (79%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atletico Goianiense 1–0 Athletic Club. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Atletico Goianiense53%fair 1.89 · @1.90
Draw26%fair 3.78 · @3.25
Athletic Club21%fair 4.82 · @4.20
2.29Expected goals
1.48Atletico Goianiense xG
0.82Athletic Club xG
52%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
1–112%
2–011%
0–010%
2–19%
0–18%
From our goals model: Atletico Goianiense 1.5 – 0.8 Athletic Club expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Atletico Goianiense
Athletic Club
Attack vs Serie B average
+6%
+6%
Goals conceded vs average
-18%
+9%
Our expected goals here
1.59
0.88
Our own ratings from every Serie B result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atletico Goianiense to win✗
53%
1.89
1.90
Double chance
Atletico Goianiense or draw✓
79%
1.26
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.91
2.05 ▲
Draw no bet
Atletico Goianiense (draw no bet)
72%
1.39
–
Asian handicap
Athletic Club +1 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
66%
1.52
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.26
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
1.05
First team to score
Atletico Goianiense to score first✗
58%
1.73
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atletico Goianiense / FT Atletico Goianiense✗
32%
3.16
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.12
–
Recent results
Atletico Goianiense – last 6
WLWDDW
12 Jul
vs Fortaleza EC
1–0
W
4 Jul
@ Novorizontino
0–3
L
28 Jun
vs Ponte Preta
2–0
W
19 Jun
@ Sport Recife
1–1
D
12 Jun
vs CRB
3–3
D
9 Jun
@ America Mineiro
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Athletic Club – last 6
DLWLDD
14 Jul
@ Ceara
0–0
D
8 Jul
vs Operario-PR
0–1
L
28 Jun
vs Avai
1–0
W
20 Jun
@ Londrina
0–2
L
14 Jun
vs Goias
1–1
D
11 Jun
@ Sport Recife
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atletico Goianiense and Athletic Club.
What is the prediction for Atletico Goianiense vs Athletic Club?
Our pick is Atletico Goianiense or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Atletico Goianiense vs Athletic Club?
On our numbers Atletico Goianiense have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Athletic Club 21%.
How many goals will there be in Atletico Goianiense vs Athletic Club?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atletico Goianiense vs Athletic Club?
Our predicted score is Atletico Goianiense 1–0 Athletic Club, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Atletico Goianiense vs Athletic Club?
Atletico Goianiense vs Athletic Club (Serie B) kicks off on Saturday 18 July 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Antônio Accioly.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
