Sport Recife 52%Draw 26%Operario-PR 22%Expected goals 1.60 – 1.00
78%
Betarazi pick
Sport Recife or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.93 – our chance 58% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultSport Recife to win ✗52% · @1.90
Double chanceSport Recife or draw ✓78% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.53
Sport Recife vs Operario-PR: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Operario-PR travel to face Sport Recife on Saturday 18 July in the Serie B, with Ilha do Retiro the venue – the ball rolls at 20:00 WAT. In the table, Sport Recife are 9th, upper half, on 55 points after 37 matches; Operario-PR are 10th (upper half) with 54. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Sport Recife, last 5: DLLDD Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Botafogo SP, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Operario-PR, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Novorizontino, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Operario-PR, collecting 2.5 points per game to 0.7 for Sport Recife.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sport Recife 1.6 xG, Operario-PR 1.0 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sport Recife 52%, draw 26%, Operario-PR 22%.
Lower-risk option: Sport Recife or draw (78%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.93.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.93 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 58%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Sport Recife or draw (78%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sport Recife 1–0 Operario-PR. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sport Recife52%fair 1.91 · @1.90
Draw26%fair 3.89 · @3.40
Operario-PR22%fair 4.56 · @4.00
2.59Expected goals
1.60Sport Recife xG
1.00Operario-PR xG
58%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
1–112%
2–010%
2–19%
0–07%
0–17%
From our goals model: Sport Recife 1.6 – 1.0 Operario-PR expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Sport Recife
Operario-PR
Attack vs Serie B average
+15%
+13%
Goals conceded vs average
+5%
+14%
Our expected goals here
1.80
1.22
Our own ratings from every Serie B result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sport Recife to win✗
52%
1.91
1.90
Double chance
Sport Recife or draw✓
78%
1.28
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.73
1.93 ▲
Draw no bet
Sport Recife (draw no bet)
70%
1.42
–
Asian handicap
Operario-PR +1 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.42
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.83
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
1.06
First team to score
Sport Recife to score first
57%
1.76
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sport Recife / FT Sport Recife✗
31%
3.23
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.53
–
Recent results
Sport Recife – last 6
DLLDDD
11 Jul
vs Botafogo SP
3–3
D
4 Jul
@ Criciuma
0–1
L
28 Jun
@ Fortaleza EC
1–2
L
19 Jun
vs Atletico Goianiense
1–1
D
14 Jun
@ São Bernardo
0–0
D
11 Jun
vs Athletic Club
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Operario-PR – last 6
WWWWLW
12 Jul
vs Novorizontino
2–1
W
8 Jul
@ Athletic Club
1–0
W
27 Jun
vs America Mineiro
1–0
W
21 Jun
@ Goias
3–0
W
14 Jun
@ Botafogo SP
1–2
L
6 Jun
vs Juventude
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sport Recife and Operario-PR.
What is the prediction for Sport Recife vs Operario-PR?
Our pick is Sport Recife or draw with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Sport Recife vs Operario-PR?
On our numbers Sport Recife have a 52% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Operario-PR 22%.
How many goals will there be in Sport Recife vs Operario-PR?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sport Recife vs Operario-PR?
Our predicted score is Sport Recife 1–0 Operario-PR, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Sport Recife vs Operario-PR?
Sport Recife vs Operario-PR (Serie B) kicks off on Saturday 18 July 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Ilha do Retiro.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
