Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultGoias to win ✓57% · @1.71
Double chanceGoias or draw ✓83% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓9% · fair 10.96
Ponte Preta vs Goias: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:00 WAT, Saturday 18 July: Ponte Preta v Goias in the Serie B, played at Moisés Lucarelli. In the table, Ponte Preta are 20th, in the drop zone, on 15 points after 37 matches; Goias are 7th (upper half) with 58. There are 43 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Ponte Preta, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Criciuma, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Goias, last 5: DWWLD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with CRB, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Goias, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.0 for Ponte Preta.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ponte Preta 0.7 xG, Goias 1.6 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ponte Preta 17%, draw 25%, Goias 57%.
Lower-risk option: Goias or draw (83%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.05.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ponte Preta 0–1 Goias. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ponte Preta17%fair 5.75 · @5.20
Draw25%fair 3.92 · @3.45
Goias57%fair 1.75 · @1.71
2.34Expected goals
0.74Ponte Preta xG
1.60Goias xG
52%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–115%
0–212%
1–111%
0–010%
1–29%
1–07%
From our goals model: Ponte Preta 0.7 – 1.6 Goias expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Ponte Preta
Goias
Attack vs Serie B average
-43%
-10%
Goals conceded vs average
+66%
-13%
Our expected goals here
0.68
1.53
Our own ratings from every Serie B result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Goias to win✓
57%
1.75
1.71
Double chance
Goias or draw✓
83%
1.21
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.94
2.05 ▲
Draw no bet
Goias (draw no bet)✓
77%
1.30
–
Asian handicap
Ponte Preta +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.71
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
1.06
First team to score
Goias to score first
62%
1.62
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Goias / FT Goias✓
35%
2.82
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
9%
10.96
–
Recent results
Ponte Preta – last 6
LLLLLL
9 Jul
vs Criciuma
1–2
L
3 Jul
@ Fortaleza EC
0–2
L
28 Jun
@ Atletico Goianiense
0–2
L
23 Jun
vs Novorizontino
0–2
L
14 Jun
@ Juventude
0–3
L
9 Jun
vs Cuiaba
1–2
L
0.3Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Goias – last 6
DWWLDL
12 Jul
@ CRB
2–2
D
5 Jul
vs Ceara
2–0
W
28 Jun
@ Nautico Recife
1–0
W
21 Jun
vs Operario-PR
0–3
L
14 Jun
@ Athletic Club
1–1
D
11 Jun
vs Novorizontino
0–4
L
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ponte Preta and Goias.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Ponte Preta vs Goias?
On our numbers Ponte Preta have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Goias 57%.
How many goals will there be in Ponte Preta vs Goias?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ponte Preta vs Goias?
Our predicted score is Ponte Preta 0–1 Goias, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Ponte Preta vs Goias?
Ponte Preta vs Goias (Serie B) kicks off on Saturday 18 July 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Moisés Lucarelli.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
