Value bet: Botafogo SP to win @ 3.35 – our chance 34% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultLondrina to win ✗39% · @2.24
Double chanceEither team to win ✗73% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.37
Londrina vs Botafogo SP: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 18 July the Serie B brings Londrina against Botafogo SP at Estadio Vitorino Goncalves Dias. Kick-off: 01:00 WAT. In the table, Londrina are 18th, in the drop zone, on 32 points after 37 matches; Botafogo SP are 12th (lower half) with 51. There are 19 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Londrina, last 5: DWDWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with America Mineiro, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.
Botafogo SP, last 5: DWLWW Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Sport Recife, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Londrina 1.3 xG, Botafogo SP 1.3 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Londrina 39%, draw 27%, Botafogo SP 34%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Botafogo SP to win @3.35 – the bookmaker implies 30%, our ratings say 34%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Londrina 1–1 Botafogo SP. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Londrina39%fair 2.56 · @2.24
Draw27%fair 3.67 · @3.05
Botafogo SP34%fair 2.97 · @3.35
2.52Expected goals
1.27Londrina xG
1.25Botafogo SP xG
54%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–010%
0–110%
2–18%
0–08%
1–28%
From our goals model: Londrina 1.3 – 1.3 Botafogo SP expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Londrina
Botafogo SP
Attack vs Serie B average
+4%
+4%
Goals conceded vs average
+31%
-13%
Our expected goals here
1.25
1.39
Our own ratings from every Serie B result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Londrina to win✗
39%
2.56
2.24
Double chance
Either team to win✗
73%
1.37
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.84
1.95 ▲
Draw no bet
Londrina (draw no bet)
54%
1.86
–
Asian handicap
Botafogo SP +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
68%
1.46
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
1.05
First team to score
Londrina to score first✗
46%
2.16
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Londrina / FT Londrina✗
21%
4.73
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.37
–
Recent results
Londrina – last 6
DWDWWL
13 Jul
@ America Mineiro
1–1
D
4 Jul
vs CRB
5–0
W
26 Jun
@ Cuiaba
2–2
D
20 Jun
vs Athletic Club
2–0
W
16 Jun
vs Avai
3–2
W
6 Jun
@ Criciuma
0–1
L
2.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Botafogo SP – last 6
DWLWWL
11 Jul
@ Sport Recife
3–3
D
6 Jul
vs Avai
3–1
W
1 Jul
vs CRB
0–1
L
20 Jun
@ Ceara
1–0
W
14 Jun
vs Operario-PR
2–1
W
9 Jun
@ Vila Nova
0–1
L
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Londrina and Botafogo SP.
What is the prediction for Londrina vs Botafogo SP?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Londrina vs Botafogo SP?
On our numbers Londrina have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Botafogo SP 34%.
How many goals will there be in Londrina vs Botafogo SP?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Londrina vs Botafogo SP?
Our predicted score is Londrina 1–1 Botafogo SP, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Londrina vs Botafogo SP?
Londrina vs Botafogo SP (Serie B) kicks off on Saturday 18 July 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Vitorino Goncalves Dias.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
