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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Cyprus v Montenegro: numbers & prediction

UEFA Nations League · Europe

Cyprus

WWDLW
Sun 15 Nov 2026

Montenegro

DWWWD
Cyprus 34%Draw 22%Montenegro 44% Expected goals 1.14 – 1.30
77%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.30

8/10Rating
–Odds

Picks by market

ResultMontenegro to win44% · fair 2.28
Double chanceEither team to win78% · fair 1.29
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score54% · fair 1.86
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–111% · fair 8.82

Cyprus vs Montenegro: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 15 November the UEFA Nations League brings Cyprus against Montenegro. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, Cyprus are 2nd on 7 points after 4 matches; Montenegro are 1st with 10. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Cyprus, last 5: WWDLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Latvia, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Montenegro, last 5: DWWWD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Armenia, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Montenegro, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.8 for Cyprus.

Head to head

When they last met (25 Sep 2026) it ended Montenegro 2–1 Cyprus.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Cyprus 1.1 xG, Montenegro 1.3 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 46%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Cyprus 34%, draw 22%, Montenegro 44%.

Betarazi verdict

The Betarazi pick is Under 3.5 goals (77%). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cyprus 1–1 Montenegro. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Cyprus34%fair 2.96
Draw22%fair 4.46
Montenegro44%fair 2.28
2.44Expected goals
1.14Cyprus xG
1.30Montenegro xG
46%Both score
44%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
0–27%

From our goals model: Cyprus 1.1 – 1.3 Montenegro expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

CyprusMontenegro
Attack vs UEFA Nations League average+2%+22%
Goals conceded vs average-14%-4%
Our expected goals here1.201.29

Our own ratings from every UEFA Nations League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMontenegro to win44%2.28–
Double chanceEither team to win78%1.29–
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score54%1.86–
Draw no betMontenegro (draw no bet)56%1.77–
Asian handicapCyprus +1 (Asian handicap)77%1.30–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals70%1.43–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals56%1.79–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals77%1.30–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals90%1.11–
First team to scoreMontenegro to score first49%2.06–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time45%2.24–
Half-time / full-timeHT Montenegro / FT Montenegro23%4.31–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–111%8.82–

Recent results

Cyprus – last 6

WWDLWD
5 Octvs Latvia2–1W
2 Octvs Armenia2–0W
28 Sep@ Latvia0–0D
25 Sep@ Montenegro1–2L
7 Jun@ Liechtenstein2–0W
4 Jun@ Slovenia1–1D
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Montenegro – last 6

DWWWDW
5 Octvs Armenia0–0D
2 Oct@ Latvia2–1W
28 Sep@ Armenia3–2W
25 Sepvs Cyprus2–1W
5 Jun@ Slovakia2–2D
1 Jun@ Bulgaria1–0W
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

25 Sep 2026Montenegro v Cyprus2–1
Cyprus vs Montenegro head-to-head page →

UEFA Nations League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Montenegro4310+310
2Cyprus4211+27
3Armenia4112-14
4Latvia4013-41

More UEFA Nations League predictions

League hub
France Türkiye 175%1.11X17%7.7028%15.00 2.3–0.7xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 63%@1.32
Belgium Italy 140%2.18X23%3.76237%2.78 1.5–1.5xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 65%@1.40
Spain England 151%1.60X21%4.56227%5.36 1.9–1.8xG GGBoth teams to score 66%@1.56
Croatia Czechia 158%1.33X21%4.93222%7.60 1.8–1.3xG GGBoth teams to score 62%@1.87

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Cyprus vs Montenegro?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance.

Who will win Cyprus vs Montenegro?

On our numbers Cyprus have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Montenegro 44%.

How many goals will there be in Cyprus vs Montenegro?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Cyprus vs Montenegro?

Our predicted score is Cyprus 1–1 Montenegro, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Cyprus vs Montenegro?

Cyprus vs Montenegro (UEFA Nations League) kicks off on Sunday 15 November 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.