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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Belarus v Albania: numbers & prediction

UEFA Nations League · Europe

Belarus

WWDLD
Sun 15 Nov 2026

Albania

WLWWL
Belarus 36%Draw 25%Albania 39% Expected goals 1.06 – 1.05
84%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19

10/10Rating
–Odds

Picks by market

ResultAlbania to win39% · fair 2.59
Double chanceEither team to win75% · fair 1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score55% · fair 1.81
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–113% · fair 7.85

Belarus vs Albania: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Belarus welcome Albania for a UEFA Nations League fixture on Sunday 15 November (18:00 WAT). In the table, Belarus are 2nd on 7 points after 4 matches; Albania are 1st with 9. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Belarus, last 5: WWDLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Finland, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Albania, last 5: WLWWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over San Marino, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (26 Sep 2026) it ended Albania 2–0 Belarus.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Belarus 1.1 xG, Albania 1.0 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 65%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Belarus 36%, draw 25%, Albania 39%.

Betarazi verdict

The Betarazi pick is Under 3.5 goals (84%). Most likely score in line with that pick: Belarus 1–1 Albania. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Belarus36%fair 2.75
Draw25%fair 3.99
Albania39%fair 2.59
2.11Expected goals
1.06Belarus xG
1.05Albania xG
45%Both score
35%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–013%
0–113%
0–012%
2–17%
1–27%

From our goals model: Belarus 1.1 – 1.0 Albania expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

BelarusAlbania
Attack vs UEFA Nations League average-0%+13%
Goals conceded vs average-32%-14%
Our expected goals here1.050.95

Our own ratings from every UEFA Nations League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAlbania to win39%2.59–
Double chanceEither team to win75%1.33–
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score55%1.81–
Draw no betAlbania (draw no bet)51%1.94–
Asian handicapAlbania +0.5 (Asian handicap)65%1.55–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals62%1.61–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals65%1.54–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals84%1.19–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals94%1.07–
First team to scoreBelarus to score first44%2.26–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time49%2.06–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw21%4.86–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–113%7.85–

Recent results

Belarus – last 6

WWDLDW
6 Octvs Finland1–0W
3 Octvs San Marino4–0W
29 Sep@ Finland0–0D
26 Sep@ Albania0–2L
9 Junvs Burkina Faso2–2D
5 Junvs Syria4–1W
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Albania – last 6

WLWWLL
6 Octvs San Marino2–1W
3 Oct@ Finland1–2L
29 Sep@ San Marino3–0W
26 Sepvs Belarus2–0W
6 Junvs Luxembourg0–1L
3 Junvs Israel0–1L
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

26 Sep 2026Albania v Belarus2–0
Belarus vs Albania head-to-head page →

UEFA Nations League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Albania4301+59
2Belarus4211+37
3Finland4211+77
4San Marino4004-150

More UEFA Nations League predictions

League hub
France Türkiye 175%1.11X17%7.7028%15.00 2.3–0.7xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 63%@1.32
Belgium Italy 140%2.18X23%3.76237%2.78 1.5–1.5xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 65%@1.40
Spain England 151%1.60X21%4.56227%5.36 1.9–1.8xG GGBoth teams to score 66%@1.56
Croatia Czechia 158%1.33X21%4.93222%7.60 1.8–1.3xG GGBoth teams to score 62%@1.87

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Belarus vs Albania?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 84% chance.

Who will win Belarus vs Albania?

On our numbers Belarus have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Albania 39%.

How many goals will there be in Belarus vs Albania?

We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Belarus vs Albania?

Our predicted score is Belarus 1–1 Albania, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.

When is Belarus vs Albania?

Belarus vs Albania (UEFA Nations League) kicks off on Sunday 15 November 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.