Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.87 – our chance 61% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultCroatia to win60% · @1.33
Double chanceCroatia or draw81% · @1.01
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score61% · @1.87
GoalsOver 1.5 goals81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110% · fair 10.26
Croatia vs Czech Republic: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 15 November the UEFA Nations League brings Croatia against Czech Republic at Opus Arena. Kick-off: 20:45 WAT. In the table, Croatia are 3rd on 3 points after 5 matches; Czech Republic are 4th with 0. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Croatia, last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to England, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 3.0 conceded per game.
Czech Republic, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Spain, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Momentum favours Croatia, collecting 0.5 points per game to 0.0 for Czech Republic.
Head to head
When they last met (26 Sep 2026) it ended Czechia 1–2 Croatia.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Croatia 1.9 xG, Czech Republic 1.2 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 59% for three or more goals, 61% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Croatia 60%, draw 21%, Czech Republic 19%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.87.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.87 – the bookmaker implies 53%, our ratings say 61%.
Betarazi verdict
We are going with Under 3.5 goals (64%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Croatia 1–1 Czech Republic. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Croatia60%fair 1.68 · @1.33
Draw21%fair 4.76 · @4.93
Czech Republic19%fair 5.19 · @7.60
3.09Expected goals
1.89Croatia xG
1.20Czech Republic xG
61%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–110%
1–09%
2–08%
1–26%
3–16%
From our goals model: Croatia 1.9 – 1.2 Czech Republic expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Croatia
Czech Republic
Attack vs UEFA Nations League average
-7%
-37%
Goals conceded vs average
+55%
+25%
Our expected goals here
1.45
1.22
Our own ratings from every UEFA Nations League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
What is the prediction for Croatia vs Czech Republic?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Croatia vs Czech Republic?
On our numbers Croatia have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Czech Republic 19%.
How many goals will there be in Croatia vs Czech Republic?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Croatia vs Czech Republic?
Our predicted score is Croatia 1–1 Czech Republic, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Croatia vs Czech Republic?
Croatia vs Czech Republic (UEFA Nations League) kicks off on Sunday 15 November 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Opus Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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