9 de Julio Rafaela 46%Draw 29%Douglas Haig 25%Expected goals 1.32 – 1.10
66%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.20 – our chance 53% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
Result9 de Julio Rafaela to win ✓46% · @1.95
Double chance9 de Julio Rafaela or draw ✓75% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.20
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.71
9 de Julio Rafaela vs Douglas Haig: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:30 WAT, Sunday 17 May: 9 de Julio Rafaela v Douglas Haig in the Torneo Federal A, played at El Coloso. In the table, 9 de Julio Rafaela are 14th, upper half, on 25 points after 18 matches; Douglas Haig are 2nd (among the top four) with 31.
Current form
9 de Julio Rafaela, last 3: DWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Sportivo Las Parejas, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give 9 de Julio Rafaela 1.3 xG, Douglas Haig 1.1 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – 9 de Julio Rafaela 46%, draw 29%, Douglas Haig 25%.
Lower-risk option: 9 de Julio Rafaela or draw (75%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.20.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.20 – the bookmaker implies 45%, our ratings say 53%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (66%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: 9 de Julio Rafaela 1–1 Douglas Haig. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
9 de Julio Rafaela46%fair 2.19 · @1.95
Draw29%fair 3.42 · @2.88
Douglas Haig25%fair 3.98 · @4.00
2.43Expected goals
1.329 de Julio Rafaela xG
1.10Douglas Haig xG
53%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–09%
2–19%
2–08%
From our goals model: 9 de Julio Rafaela 1.3 – 1.1 Douglas Haig expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
9 de Julio Rafaela
Douglas Haig
Attack vs Torneo Federal A average
+33%
+27%
Goals conceded vs average
+34%
-29%
Our expected goals here
1.14
1.22
Our own ratings from every Torneo Federal A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
9 de Julio Rafaela to win✓
46%
2.19
1.95
Double chance
9 de Julio Rafaela or draw✓
75%
1.34
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.88
2.20 ▲
Draw no bet
9 de Julio Rafaela (draw no bet)✓
64%
1.55
–
Asian handicap
Douglas Haig +1 (Asian handicap)✗
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.50
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.17
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.12
1.05
First team to score
9 de Julio Rafaela to score first✓
50%
2.01
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT 9 de Julio Rafaela / FT 9 de Julio Rafaela✓
24%
4.13
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.71
–
Recent results
9 de Julio Rafaela – last 3
DWL
5 Apr
@ Sportivo Las Parejas
1–1
D
29 Mar
vs Independiente De Chivilcoy
3–2
W
21 Mar
@ Sportivo Belgrano
0–3
L
1.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Douglas Haig – last 2
WW
18 Apr
@ Sportivo Belgrano
1–0
W
29 Mar
@ Gimnasia Concepción
3–1
W
2.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between 9 de Julio Rafaela and Douglas Haig.
What is the prediction for 9 de Julio Rafaela vs Douglas Haig?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win 9 de Julio Rafaela vs Douglas Haig?
On our numbers 9 de Julio Rafaela have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Douglas Haig 25%.
How many goals will there be in 9 de Julio Rafaela vs Douglas Haig?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for 9 de Julio Rafaela vs Douglas Haig?
Our predicted score is 9 de Julio Rafaela 1–1 Douglas Haig, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is 9 de Julio Rafaela vs Douglas Haig?
9 de Julio Rafaela vs Douglas Haig (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at El Coloso.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
