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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Villa Mitre v Sol de Mayo: numbers & prediction

Torneo Federal A · Argentina · Estadio El Fortin
Villa Mitre 68%Draw 21%Sol de Mayo 12% Expected goals 1.57 – 0.41
82%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.20Odds

Picks by market

ResultVilla Mitre to win ✓68% · @1.36
Double chanceVilla Mitre or draw ✓88% · @1.04
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗57% · @1.36
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗22% · fair 4.60

Villa Mitre vs Sol de Mayo: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Sol de Mayo travel to face Villa Mitre on Sunday 17 May in the Torneo Federal A, with Estadio El Fortin the venue – the ball rolls at 19:00 WAT. In the table, Villa Mitre are 16th, upper half, on 23 points after 16 matches; Sol de Mayo are 28th (lower half) with 18.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Villa Mitre 1.6 xG, Sol de Mayo 0.4 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Villa Mitre 68%, draw 21%, Sol de Mayo 12%.
  • GG/NG: NG (57%) at 1.36.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (82%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Villa Mitre 1–0 Sol de Mayo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Villa Mitre68%fair 1.48 · @1.36
Draw21%fair 4.80 · @3.75
Sol de Mayo12%fair 8.63 · @8.50
1.97Expected goals
1.57Villa Mitre xG
0.41Sol de Mayo xG
43%Both score
36%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–022%
2–017%
0–014%
1–19%
3–09%
2–17%

From our goals model: Villa Mitre 1.6 – 0.4 Sol de Mayo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Villa MitreSol de Mayo
Attack vs Torneo Federal A average+9%-3%
Goals conceded vs average-28%+55%
Our expected goals here2.030.50

Our own ratings from every Torneo Federal A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultVilla Mitre to win ✓68%1.481.36
Double chanceVilla Mitre or draw ✓88%1.131.04
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗57%1.741.36
Draw no betVilla Mitre (draw no bet) ✓85%1.17–
Asian handicapVilla Mitre -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓66%1.51–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓62%1.621.44
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗64%1.561.57
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82%1.221.20
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓92%1.091.06
First team to scoreVilla Mitre to score first ✓68%1.46–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗47%2.11–
Half-time / full-timeHT Villa Mitre / FT Villa Mitre ✓41%2.44–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗22%4.60–

Recent results

Villa Mitre – last 1

W
29 Marvs Circulo Deportivo2–0W
2.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Sol de Mayo – last 2

WD
19 Aprvs Guillermo Brown1–0W
3 Aprvs Alvarado0–0D
0.5Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Villa Mitre and Sol de Mayo.

Villa Mitre vs Sol de Mayo head-to-head page →

Torneo Federal A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Olimpo Bahia Blanca16871+931
2Douglas Haig18945+731
3Sportivo Belgrano18792+1230
4San Martin Formosa16934+630
5Alvarado16763+1227
6Gimnasia Chivilcoy18765+527
7Defensores de Belgrano VR18765+427
8Kimberley Mar del Plata16682+626
9Bartolomé Mitre16754+626
10Sol de América16826+526
11Juventud Antoniana16745+825
12Cipolletti16745+425
13Sarmiento de La Banda16745+225
149 de Julio Rafaela18747+125
15Sportivo Las Parejas18594-124
16Villa Mitre16583+623
17Argentino Monte Maíz16583+423
18Atenas16655-123
19Huracan Las Heras16655-223
20Atletico Escobar18648-822
21Fundacion Amigos16493+321
22Deportivo Rincon16547-319
23San Martín Mendoza16475-419
24Defensores de Vilelas16619-519
25Independiente De Chivilcoy18477-719
26El Linqueño18549-719
27Costa Brava16466-118
28Sol de Mayo16466-318
29Boca Unidos16538-618
30Germinal de Rawson16466-718
31Juventud Unida Univ.16385017
32Tucuman Central16529-517
33Gimnasia Concepción18459-617
34Guillermo Brown16457-717
35Sarmiento Resistencia16367-1115
36Santamarina16277-813
37Circulo Deportivo16277-813

More Torneo Federal A predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Villa Mitre vs Sol de Mayo?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Villa Mitre vs Sol de Mayo?

On our numbers Villa Mitre have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Sol de Mayo 12%.

How many goals will there be in Villa Mitre vs Sol de Mayo?

We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Villa Mitre vs Sol de Mayo?

Our predicted score is Villa Mitre 1–0 Sol de Mayo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.

When is Villa Mitre vs Sol de Mayo?

Villa Mitre vs Sol de Mayo (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio El Fortin.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.