El Linqueño 48%Draw 34%Gimnasia Concepción 18%Expected goals 1.12 – 0.68
68%
Betarazi pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
7/10Rating
1.50Odds
Picks by market
ResultEl Linqueño to win ✗48% · @1.73
Double chanceEl Linqueño or draw ✓82% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.53
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.40
El Linqueño vs Gimnasia Concepción: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:00 WAT, Sunday 17 May: El Linqueño v Gimnasia Concepción in the Torneo Federal A, played at Leonardo Costa. In the table, El Linqueño are 26th, lower half, on 19 points after 18 matches; Gimnasia Concepción are 33rd (lower half) with 17. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give El Linqueño 1.1 xG, Gimnasia Concepción 0.7 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – El Linqueño 48%, draw 34%, Gimnasia Concepción 18%.
GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.53.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (68%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: El Linqueño 1–0 Gimnasia Concepción. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
El Linqueño48%fair 2.07 · @1.73
Draw34%fair 2.94 · @3.10
Gimnasia Concepción18%fair 5.65 · @4.75
1.80Expected goals
1.12El Linqueño xG
0.68Gimnasia Concepción xG
47%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–019%
0–016%
1–113%
0–111%
2–010%
2–17%
From our goals model: El Linqueño 1.1 – 0.7 Gimnasia Concepción expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
El Linqueño
Gimnasia Concepción
Attack vs Torneo Federal A average
-10%
-14%
Goals conceded vs average
-21%
-40%
Our expected goals here
0.64
0.49
Our own ratings from every Torneo Federal A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
El Linqueño to win✗
48%
2.07
1.73
Double chance
El Linqueño or draw✓
82%
1.21
1.12
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.89
1.53
Draw no bet
El Linqueño (draw no bet)
73%
1.37
–
Asian handicap
Gimnasia Concepción +1 (Asian handicap)✓
73%
1.36
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
58%
1.72
1.50
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
1.17
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.08
1.05
First team to score
El Linqueño to score first✗
52%
1.92
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
52%
1.92
–
Half-time / full-time
HT El Linqueño / FT El Linqueño✗
26%
3.82
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
19%
5.40
–
Recent results
El Linqueño – last 2
WL
5 Apr
vs Atletico Escobar
2–1
W
29 Mar
@ Defensores de Belgrano VR
1–3
L
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Gimnasia Concepción – last 2
DL
6 Apr
@ Sportivo Belgrano
0–0
D
29 Mar
vs Douglas Haig
1–3
L
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between El Linqueño and Gimnasia Concepción.
What is the prediction for El Linqueño vs Gimnasia Concepción?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win El Linqueño vs Gimnasia Concepción?
On our numbers El Linqueño have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 34% and Gimnasia Concepción 18%.
How many goals will there be in El Linqueño vs Gimnasia Concepción?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for El Linqueño vs Gimnasia Concepción?
Our predicted score is El Linqueño 1–0 Gimnasia Concepción, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is El Linqueño vs Gimnasia Concepción?
El Linqueño vs Gimnasia Concepción (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Leonardo Costa.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
