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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Deportivo Rincon v Costa Brava: numbers & prediction

Torneo Federal A · Argentina · Estadio Gremio de Los Petroleros
Deportivo Rincon 46%Draw 30%Costa Brava 24% Expected goals 1.17 – 0.72
70%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.43 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.36Odds

Picks by market

ResultDeportivo Rincon to win ✓46% · @2.00
Double chanceDeportivo Rincon or draw ✓76% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓70% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓18% · fair 5.64

Deportivo Rincon vs Costa Brava: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 17 May the Torneo Federal A brings Deportivo Rincon against Costa Brava at Estadio Gremio de Los Petroleros. Kick-off: 19:00 WAT. In the table, Deportivo Rincon are 22nd, lower half, on 19 points after 16 matches; Costa Brava are 27th (lower half) with 18. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Costa Brava, last 3: LDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Atenas, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Deportivo Rincon 1.2 xG, Costa Brava 0.7 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 70%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Deportivo Rincon 46%, draw 30%, Costa Brava 24%.
  • Lower-risk option: Deportivo Rincon or draw (76%) at 1.18.
  • GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.50.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (70%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Deportivo Rincon 1–0 Costa Brava. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Deportivo Rincon46%fair 2.16 · @2.00
Draw30%fair 3.37 · @2.88
Costa Brava24%fair 4.15 · @3.80
1.89Expected goals
1.17Deportivo Rincon xG
0.72Costa Brava xG
48%Both score
30%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–018%
0–015%
1–113%
0–111%
2–010%
2–17%

From our goals model: Deportivo Rincon 1.2 – 0.7 Costa Brava expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Deportivo RinconCosta Brava
Attack vs Torneo Federal A average-1%+1%
Goals conceded vs average-9%-4%
Our expected goals here1.150.66

Our own ratings from every Torneo Federal A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDeportivo Rincon to win ✓46%2.162.00
Double chanceDeportivo Rincon or draw ✓76%1.321.18
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓52%1.911.50
Draw no betDeportivo Rincon (draw no bet) ✓66%1.52–
Asian handicapCosta Brava +1 (Asian handicap)72%1.38–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗57%1.761.62
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓70%1.431.36
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓86%1.161.11
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓93%1.071.03
First team to scoreDeportivo Rincon to score first ✓53%1.90–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗51%1.96–
Half-time / full-timeHT Deportivo Rincon / FT Deportivo Rincon ✓27%3.74–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓18%5.64–

Recent results

Deportivo Rincon – last 2

WL
5 Aprvs Argentino Monte Maíz2–0W
21 Mar@ San Lorenzo0–5L
1.0Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Costa Brava – last 3

LDW
19 Aprvs Atenas0–1L
29 Mar@ Argentino Monte Maíz0–0D
22 Marvs Fundacion Amigos3–0W
1.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Deportivo Rincon and Costa Brava.

Deportivo Rincon vs Costa Brava head-to-head page →

Torneo Federal A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Olimpo Bahia Blanca16871+931
2Douglas Haig18945+731
3Sportivo Belgrano18792+1230
4San Martin Formosa16934+630
5Alvarado16763+1227
6Gimnasia Chivilcoy18765+527
7Defensores de Belgrano VR18765+427
8Kimberley Mar del Plata16682+626
9Bartolomé Mitre16754+626
10Sol de América16826+526
11Juventud Antoniana16745+825
12Cipolletti16745+425
13Sarmiento de La Banda16745+225
149 de Julio Rafaela18747+125
15Sportivo Las Parejas18594-124
16Villa Mitre16583+623
17Argentino Monte Maíz16583+423
18Atenas16655-123
19Huracan Las Heras16655-223
20Atletico Escobar18648-822
21Fundacion Amigos16493+321
22Deportivo Rincon16547-319
23San Martín Mendoza16475-419
24Defensores de Vilelas16619-519
25Independiente De Chivilcoy18477-719
26El Linqueño18549-719
27Costa Brava16466-118
28Sol de Mayo16466-318
29Boca Unidos16538-618
30Germinal de Rawson16466-718
31Juventud Unida Univ.16385017
32Tucuman Central16529-517
33Gimnasia Concepción18459-617
34Guillermo Brown16457-717
35Sarmiento Resistencia16367-1115
36Santamarina16277-813
37Circulo Deportivo16277-813

More Torneo Federal A predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Deportivo Rincon vs Costa Brava?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.

Who will win Deportivo Rincon vs Costa Brava?

On our numbers Deportivo Rincon have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 30% and Costa Brava 24%.

How many goals will there be in Deportivo Rincon vs Costa Brava?

We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 30% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Deportivo Rincon vs Costa Brava?

Our predicted score is Deportivo Rincon 1–0 Costa Brava, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.

When is Deportivo Rincon vs Costa Brava?

Deportivo Rincon vs Costa Brava (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Gremio de Los Petroleros.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.