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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Argentino Monte Maíz v San Martín Mendoza: numbers & prediction

Torneo Federal A · Argentina · Estadio Modesto Marrone
Argentino Monte Maíz 61%Draw 27%San Martín Mendoza 13% Expected goals 1.33 – 0.45
69%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.45 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗

7/10Rating
1.44Odds

Picks by market

ResultArgentino Monte Maíz to win ✓61% · @1.60
Double chanceArgentino Monte Maíz or draw ✓87% · @1.08
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗57% · @1.40
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗69% · @1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗22% · fair 4.47

Argentino Monte Maíz vs San Martín Mendoza: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 17 May the Torneo Federal A brings Argentino Monte Maíz against San Martín Mendoza at Estadio Modesto Marrone. Kick-off: 19:30 WAT. In the table, Argentino Monte Maíz are 17th, upper half, on 23 points after 16 matches; San Martín Mendoza are 23rd (lower half) with 19.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Argentino Monte Maíz 1.3 xG, San Martín Mendoza 0.5 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 69% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Argentino Monte Maíz 61%, draw 27%, San Martín Mendoza 13%.
  • GG/NG: NG (57%) at 1.40.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (69%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Argentino Monte Maíz 1–0 San Martín Mendoza. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Argentino Monte Maíz61%fair 1.65 · @1.60
Draw27%fair 3.75 · @3.10
San Martín Mendoza13%fair 7.93 · @6.00
1.78Expected goals
1.33Argentino Monte Maíz xG
0.45San Martín Mendoza xG
43%Both score
31%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–022%
0–017%
2–015%
1–110%
0–18%
2–17%

From our goals model: Argentino Monte Maíz 1.3 – 0.5 San Martín Mendoza expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Argentino Monte MaízSan Martín Mendoza
Attack vs Torneo Federal A average+20%-5%
Goals conceded vs average-20%+2%
Our expected goals here1.480.54

Our own ratings from every Torneo Federal A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultArgentino Monte Maíz to win ✓61%1.651.60
Double chanceArgentino Monte Maíz or draw ✓87%1.141.08
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗57%1.741.40
Draw no betArgentino Monte Maíz (draw no bet) ✓83%1.21–
Asian handicapSan Martín Mendoza +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗71%1.41–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓56%1.781.57
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗69%1.451.44
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗85%1.171.14
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗93%1.071.04
First team to scoreArgentino Monte Maíz to score first ✓62%1.61–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗51%1.96–
Half-time / full-timeHT Argentino Monte Maíz / FT Argentino Monte Maíz ✓35%2.87–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗22%4.47–

Recent results

Argentino Monte Maíz – last 2

LD
5 Apr@ Deportivo Rincon0–2L
29 Marvs Costa Brava0–0D
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

San Martín Mendoza – last 2

LD
29 Mar@ Cipolletti0–3L
21 Marvs Juventud Unida Univ.0–0D
0.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Argentino Monte Maíz and San Martín Mendoza.

Argentino Monte Maíz vs San Martín Mendoza head-to-head page →

Torneo Federal A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Olimpo Bahia Blanca16871+931
2Douglas Haig18945+731
3Sportivo Belgrano18792+1230
4San Martin Formosa16934+630
5Alvarado16763+1227
6Gimnasia Chivilcoy18765+527
7Defensores de Belgrano VR18765+427
8Kimberley Mar del Plata16682+626
9Bartolomé Mitre16754+626
10Sol de América16826+526
11Juventud Antoniana16745+825
12Cipolletti16745+425
13Sarmiento de La Banda16745+225
149 de Julio Rafaela18747+125
15Sportivo Las Parejas18594-124
16Villa Mitre16583+623
17Argentino Monte Maíz16583+423
18Atenas16655-123
19Huracan Las Heras16655-223
20Atletico Escobar18648-822
21Fundacion Amigos16493+321
22Deportivo Rincon16547-319
23San Martín Mendoza16475-419
24Defensores de Vilelas16619-519
25Independiente De Chivilcoy18477-719
26El Linqueño18549-719
27Costa Brava16466-118
28Sol de Mayo16466-318
29Boca Unidos16538-618
30Germinal de Rawson16466-718
31Juventud Unida Univ.16385017
32Tucuman Central16529-517
33Gimnasia Concepción18459-617
34Guillermo Brown16457-717
35Sarmiento Resistencia16367-1115
36Santamarina16277-813
37Circulo Deportivo16277-813

More Torneo Federal A predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Argentino Monte Maíz vs San Martín Mendoza?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Argentino Monte Maíz vs San Martín Mendoza?

On our numbers Argentino Monte Maíz have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 27% and San Martín Mendoza 13%.

How many goals will there be in Argentino Monte Maíz vs San Martín Mendoza?

We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 31% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Argentino Monte Maíz vs San Martín Mendoza?

Our predicted score is Argentino Monte Maíz 1–0 San Martín Mendoza, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.

When is Argentino Monte Maíz vs San Martín Mendoza?

Argentino Monte Maíz vs San Martín Mendoza (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Modesto Marrone.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.