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Bartolomé Mitre v Defensores de Vilelas: numbers & prediction

Torneo Federal A · Argentina · Estadio Tito Cucchiaroni
Bartolomé Mitre 60%Draw 25%Defensores de Vilelas 15% Expected goals 1.45 – 0.76
78%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultBartolomé Mitre to win ✓60% · @1.22
Double chanceBartolomé Mitre or draw ✓85% · @1.03
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · @1.40
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓16% · fair 6.25

Bartolomé Mitre vs Defensores de Vilelas: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Defensores de Vilelas travel to face Bartolomé Mitre on Sunday 12 July in the Torneo Federal A, with Estadio Tito Cucchiaroni the venue – the ball rolls at 19:30 WAT. In the table, Bartolomé Mitre are 9th, upper half, on 26 points after 16 matches; Defensores de Vilelas are 24th (lower half) with 19.

Current form

Bartolomé Mitre, last 5: LDDWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Sarmiento de La Banda, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Defensores de Vilelas, last 5: WLWLW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Sarmiento de La Banda, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (10 May 2026) it ended Defensores de Vilelas 1–3 Bartolomé Mitre.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Bartolomé Mitre 1.4 xG, Defensores de Vilelas 0.8 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 46%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Bartolomé Mitre 60%, draw 25%, Defensores de Vilelas 15%.
  • GG/NG: NG (54%) at 1.40.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bartolomé Mitre 1–0 Defensores de Vilelas. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Bartolomé Mitre60%fair 1.67 · @1.22
Draw25%fair 3.96 · @4.50
Defensores de Vilelas15%fair 6.76 · @13.00
2.20Expected goals
1.45Bartolomé Mitre xG
0.76Defensores de Vilelas xG
46%Both score
41%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–016%
1–112%
2–012%
0–011%
2–19%
0–18%

From our goals model: Bartolomé Mitre 1.4 – 0.8 Defensores de Vilelas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Bartolomé MitreDefensores de Vilelas
Attack vs Torneo Federal A average-40%+37%
Goals conceded vs average-13%+58%
Our expected goals here1.150.85

Our own ratings from every Torneo Federal A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBartolomé Mitre to win ✓60%1.671.22
Double chanceBartolomé Mitre or draw ✓85%1.171.03
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓54%1.871.40
Draw no betBartolomé Mitre (draw no bet) ✓80%1.25–
Asian handicapDefensores de Vilelas +1 (Asian handicap)63%1.59–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗67%1.501.36
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓59%1.701.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78%1.281.25
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓90%1.121.08
First team to scoreBartolomé Mitre to score first ✓58%1.71–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓46%2.16–
Half-time / full-timeHT Bartolomé Mitre / FT Bartolomé Mitre ✗32%3.12–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓16%6.25–

Recent results

Bartolomé Mitre – last 6

LDDWLW
28 Jun@ Sarmiento de La Banda0–1L
20 Junvs Juventud Antoniana0–0D
14 Jun@ Sol de América0–0D
6 Junvs Sarmiento Resistencia2–0W
31 May@ Boca Unidos1–2L
25 Mayvs Tucuman Central1–0W
0.7Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Defensores de Vilelas – last 6

WLWLWL
4 Julvs Sarmiento de La Banda3–0W
28 Jun@ Juventud Antoniana0–4L
21 Junvs Sol de América2–1W
14 Jun@ Sarmiento Resistencia0–2L
6 Junvs Boca Unidos2–0W
31 May@ Tucuman Central0–2L
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

10 May 2026Defensores de Vilelas v Bartolomé Mitre1–3
Bartolomé Mitre vs Defensores de Vilelas head-to-head page →

Torneo Federal A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Olimpo Bahia Blanca16871+931
2Douglas Haig18945+731
3Sportivo Belgrano18792+1230
4San Martin Formosa16934+630
5Alvarado16763+1227
6Gimnasia Chivilcoy18765+527
7Defensores de Belgrano VR18765+427
8Kimberley Mar del Plata16682+626
9Bartolomé Mitre16754+626
10Sol de América16826+526
11Juventud Antoniana16745+825
12Cipolletti16745+425
13Sarmiento de La Banda16745+225
149 de Julio Rafaela18747+125
15Sportivo Las Parejas18594-124
16Villa Mitre16583+623
17Argentino Monte Maíz16583+423
18Atenas16655-123
19Huracan Las Heras16655-223
20Atletico Escobar18648-822
21Fundacion Amigos16493+321
22Deportivo Rincon16547-319
23San Martín Mendoza16475-419
24Defensores de Vilelas16619-519
25Independiente De Chivilcoy18477-719
26El Linqueño18549-719
27Costa Brava16466-118
28Sol de Mayo16466-318
29Boca Unidos16538-618
30Germinal de Rawson16466-718
31Juventud Unida Univ.16385017
32Tucuman Central16529-517
33Gimnasia Concepción18459-617
34Guillermo Brown16457-717
35Sarmiento Resistencia16367-1115
36Santamarina16277-813
37Circulo Deportivo16277-813

More Torneo Federal A predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Bartolomé Mitre vs Defensores de Vilelas?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Bartolomé Mitre vs Defensores de Vilelas?

On our numbers Bartolomé Mitre have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Defensores de Vilelas 15%.

How many goals will there be in Bartolomé Mitre vs Defensores de Vilelas?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Bartolomé Mitre vs Defensores de Vilelas?

Our predicted score is Bartolomé Mitre 1–0 Defensores de Vilelas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Bartolomé Mitre vs Defensores de Vilelas?

Bartolomé Mitre vs Defensores de Vilelas (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 12 July 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Tito Cucchiaroni.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.