Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓61% · @1.28
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗24% · fair 4.14
Villa Mitre vs Guillermo Brown: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Villa Mitre welcome Guillermo Brown to Estadio El Fortin for a Torneo Federal A fixture on Sunday 12 July (19:00 WAT). In the table, Villa Mitre are 16th, upper half, on 23 points after 16 matches; Guillermo Brown are 34th (lower half) with 17.
Current form
Villa Mitre, last 5: DWWDD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Olimpo Bahia Blanca, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Guillermo Brown, last 5: WLLDD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Circulo Deportivo, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Villa Mitre, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.3 for Guillermo Brown.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Villa Mitre 1.4 xG, Guillermo Brown 0.4 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Villa Mitre 66%, draw 24%, Guillermo Brown 10%.
GG/NG: NG (61%) at 1.28.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (68%, odds 1.50 – longer than our fair 1.46, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Villa Mitre 1–0 Guillermo Brown. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Villa Mitre66%fair 1.51 · @1.22
Draw24%fair 4.19 · @4.20
Guillermo Brown10%fair 10.29 · @17.00
1.75Expected goals
1.39Villa Mitre xG
0.36Guillermo Brown xG
39%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–024%
0–017%
2–017%
1–19%
3–08%
0–16%
From our goals model: Villa Mitre 1.4 – 0.4 Guillermo Brown expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Villa Mitre
Guillermo Brown
Attack vs Torneo Federal A average
+9%
-27%
Goals conceded vs average
-28%
-4%
Our expected goals here
1.26
0.38
Our own ratings from every Torneo Federal A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Villa Mitre to win✓
66%
1.51
1.22
Double chance
Villa Mitre or draw✓
90%
1.11
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
61%
1.64
1.28
Draw no bet
Villa Mitre (draw no bet)✓
87%
1.15
–
Asian handicap
Villa Mitre -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
57%
1.74
1.50
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.46
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
1.17
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.08
1.05
First team to score
Villa Mitre to score first✓
66%
1.52
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
51%
1.96
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Villa Mitre / FT Villa Mitre✓
38%
2.63
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
24%
4.14
–
Recent results
Villa Mitre – last 6
DWWDDW
5 Jul
@ Olimpo Bahia Blanca
0–0
D
28 Jun
vs Alvarado
1–0
W
20 Jun
@ Santamarina
2–0
W
14 Jun
vs Germinal de Rawson
0–0
D
25 May
vs Kimberley Mar del Plata
0–0
D
17 May
vs Sol de Mayo
2–1
W
0.8Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Guillermo Brown – last 6
WLLDDW
5 Jul
vs Circulo Deportivo
1–0
W
28 Jun
@ Kimberley Mar del Plata
0–3
L
21 Jun
vs Sol de Mayo
0–1
L
7 Jun
@ Olimpo Bahia Blanca
0–0
D
31 May
vs Alvarado
0–0
D
24 May
@ Santamarina
2–0
W
0.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
0%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Villa Mitre and Guillermo Brown.
What is the prediction for Villa Mitre vs Guillermo Brown?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Villa Mitre vs Guillermo Brown?
On our numbers Villa Mitre have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Guillermo Brown 10%.
How many goals will there be in Villa Mitre vs Guillermo Brown?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 39% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Villa Mitre vs Guillermo Brown?
Our predicted score is Villa Mitre 1–0 Guillermo Brown, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Villa Mitre vs Guillermo Brown?
Villa Mitre vs Guillermo Brown (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 12 July 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio El Fortin.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
