Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗20% · fair 5.12
El Linqueño vs Independiente De Chivilcoy: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:00 WAT, Sunday 12 July: El Linqueño v Independiente De Chivilcoy in the Torneo Federal A, played at Leonardo Costa. In the table, El Linqueño are 26th, lower half, on 19 points after 18 matches; Independiente De Chivilcoy are 25th (lower half) with 19. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
El Linqueño, last 5: LDLWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Gimnasia Chivilcoy, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Independiente De Chivilcoy, last 5: DLLDD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Sportivo Belgrano, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give El Linqueño 1.2 xG, Independiente De Chivilcoy 0.6 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – El Linqueño 52%, draw 31%, Independiente De Chivilcoy 18%.
GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.50.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (68%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: El Linqueño 1–0 Independiente De Chivilcoy. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
El Linqueño52%fair 1.94 · @1.80
Draw31%fair 3.27 · @3.00
Independiente De Chivilcoy18%fair 5.64 · @4.50
1.85Expected goals
1.24El Linqueño xG
0.61Independiente De Chivilcoy xG
47%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–020%
0–016%
2–012%
1–112%
0–110%
2–17%
From our goals model: El Linqueño 1.2 – 0.6 Independiente De Chivilcoy expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
El Linqueño
Independiente De Chivilcoy
Attack vs Torneo Federal A average
-10%
-9%
Goals conceded vs average
-21%
-3%
Our expected goals here
1.05
0.52
Our own ratings from every Torneo Federal A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
El Linqueño to win✓
52%
1.94
1.80
Double chance
El Linqueño or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.12
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
53%
1.89
1.50
Draw no bet
El Linqueño (draw no bet)✓
74%
1.34
–
Asian handicap
Independiente De Chivilcoy +1 (Asian handicap)
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
57%
1.75
1.57
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
1.14
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.08
1.04
First team to score
El Linqueño to score first✓
57%
1.77
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
51%
1.96
–
Half-time / full-time
HT El Linqueño / FT El Linqueño✓
30%
3.32
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
20%
5.12
–
Recent results
El Linqueño – last 6
LDLWLL
5 Jul
@ Gimnasia Chivilcoy
0–1
L
28 Jun
vs Sportivo Belgrano
1–1
D
23 Jun
@ 9 de Julio Rafaela
2–3
L
14 Jun
vs Douglas Haig
2–0
W
7 Jun
@ Atletico Escobar
0–1
L
31 May
vs Defensores de Belgrano VR
0–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Independiente De Chivilcoy – last 6
DLLDDD
5 Jul
@ Sportivo Belgrano
1–1
D
28 Jun
vs Douglas Haig
0–4
L
21 Jun
@ Defensores de Belgrano VR
0–2
L
14 Jun
vs Gimnasia Concepción
0–0
D
7 Jun
@ Gimnasia Chivilcoy
0–0
D
31 May
vs 9 de Julio Rafaela
2–2
D
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between El Linqueño and Independiente De Chivilcoy.
What is the prediction for El Linqueño vs Independiente De Chivilcoy?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win El Linqueño vs Independiente De Chivilcoy?
On our numbers El Linqueño have a 52% chance of winning, the draw 31% and Independiente De Chivilcoy 18%.
How many goals will there be in El Linqueño vs Independiente De Chivilcoy?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for El Linqueño vs Independiente De Chivilcoy?
Our predicted score is El Linqueño 1–0 Independiente De Chivilcoy, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is El Linqueño vs Independiente De Chivilcoy?
El Linqueño vs Independiente De Chivilcoy (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 12 July 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Leonardo Costa.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
