Union Omaha 22%Draw 23%Louisville City 55%Expected goals 1.25 – 1.73
78%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.77 – our chance 60% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultLouisville City to win ✓55% · @1.48
Double chanceLouisville City or draw ✓78% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.77
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.54
Union Omaha vs Louisville City: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 17 May the USL League One Cup brings Union Omaha against Louisville City at Werner Park. Kick-off: 22:00 WAT. In the table, Union Omaha are 23rd, lower half, on 6 points after 4 matches; Louisville City are 1st (leading the league) with 12.
Current form
Union Omaha, last 5: WDWWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over One Knoxville, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Louisville City, last 5: LLDWW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Pittsburgh Riverhounds, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Union Omaha 1.3 xG, Louisville City 1.7 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 56% for three or more goals, 60% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Union Omaha 22%, draw 23%, Louisville City 55%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.77.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.77 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Union Omaha 1–1 Louisville City. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Union Omaha22%fair 4.54 · @5.60
Draw23%fair 4.31 · @4.00
Louisville City55%fair 1.83 · @1.48
2.98Expected goals
1.25Union Omaha xG
1.73Louisville City xG
60%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
0–19%
0–28%
2–17%
1–06%
From our goals model: Union Omaha 1.3 – 1.7 Louisville City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Louisville City to win✓
55%
1.83
1.48
Double chance
Louisville City or draw✓
78%
1.28
1.08
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.67
1.77 ▲
Draw no bet
Louisville City (draw no bet)✓
71%
1.40
–
Asian handicap
Union Omaha +1 (Asian handicap)✗
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
66%
1.52
1.40
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
82%
1.22
–
First team to score
Louisville City to score first
55%
1.82
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
39%
2.54
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Louisville City / FT Louisville City✗
30%
3.38
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.54
–
Recent results
Union Omaha – last 6
WDWWLL
14 May
@ One Knoxville
2–1
W
10 May
vs Portland Hearts of Pine
2–2
D
3 May
vs Greenville Triumph
2–0
W
26 Apr
@ Indy Eleven
2–1
W
18 Apr
@ Richmond Kickers
1–2
L
15 Apr
@ Colorado Rapids
0–1
L
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Louisville City – last 6
LLDWWD
10 May
vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds
0–2
L
2 May
@ Detroit City
1–2
L
30 Apr
@ Houston Dynamo
1–1
D
26 Apr
vs Fort Wayne
3–1
W
15 Apr
vs Austin
2–1
W
10 Apr
@ Loudoun United
3–3
D
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Union Omaha and Louisville City.
What is the prediction for Union Omaha vs Louisville City?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Union Omaha vs Louisville City?
On our numbers Union Omaha have a 22% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Louisville City 55%.
How many goals will there be in Union Omaha vs Louisville City?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Union Omaha vs Louisville City?
Our predicted score is Union Omaha 1–1 Louisville City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Union Omaha vs Louisville City?
Union Omaha vs Louisville City (USL League One Cup) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Werner Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
