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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Phoenix Rising v Orange County SC: numbers & prediction

USL League One Cup · USA · Wild Horse Pass Stadium

Phoenix Rising

DWLWL
2–1
FT

Orange County SC

DLLDW
Phoenix Rising 49%Draw 23%Orange County SC 28% Expected goals 1.67 – 1.13
76%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.32 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultPhoenix Rising to win ✓49% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.44

Phoenix Rising vs Orange County SC: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Orange County SC travel to face Phoenix Rising on Sunday 17 May in the USL League One Cup, with Wild Horse Pass Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 03:00 WAT. In the table, Phoenix Rising are 35th, lower half, on 3 points after 4 matches; Orange County SC are 42nd (in the drop zone) with 0. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Phoenix Rising, last 5: DWLWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with San Antonio, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Orange County SC, last 5: DLLDW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Colorado Springs, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (2 Apr 2026) it ended Orange County SC 1–1 Phoenix Rising. The last 2 head-to-heads: Phoenix Rising 0 wins, Orange County SC 0, draws 2. Those games averaged 2.0 goals and saw GG land 2 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Phoenix Rising 1.7 xG, Orange County SC 1.1 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 58%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Phoenix Rising 49%, draw 23%, Orange County SC 28%.
  • GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.65.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Phoenix Rising 1–1 Orange County SC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Phoenix Rising49%fair 2.05 · @2.05
Draw23%fair 4.32 · @3.40
Orange County SC28%fair 3.56 · @3.20
2.80Expected goals
1.67Phoenix Rising xG
1.13Orange County SC xG
58%Both score
52%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–010%
2–110%
2–08%
0–17%
1–26%

From our goals model: Phoenix Rising 1.7 – 1.1 Orange County SC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPhoenix Rising to win ✓49%2.052.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.301.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓58%1.721.65
Draw no betPhoenix Rising (draw no bet) ✓63%1.58–
Asian handicapOrange County SC +1 (Asian handicap)65%1.53–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76%1.321.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓52%1.911.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓69%1.451.35
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓85%1.18–
First team to scorePhoenix Rising to score first56%1.79–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓41%2.45–
Half-time / full-timeHT Phoenix Rising / FT Phoenix Rising ✗30%3.30–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10%10.44–

Recent results

Phoenix Rising – last 6

DWLWLW
10 Mayvs San Antonio1–1D
3 May@ Pittsburgh Riverhounds1–0W
26 Aprvs Colorado Springs0–1L
19 Apr@ Miami FC3–0W
16 Apr@ San Jose Earthquakes0–2L
12 Aprvs New Mexico United3–0W
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Orange County SC – last 6

DLLDWW
9 May@ Colorado Springs2–2D
3 May@ Sacramento Republic2–3L
26 Aprvs El Paso Locomotive1–2L
19 Aprvs Lexington0–0D
12 Apr@ FC Tulsa1–0W
9 Aprvs San Antonio2–0W
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

2 Apr 2026Orange County SC v Phoenix Rising1–1
15 Mar 2026Phoenix Rising v Orange County SC1–1
Phoenix Rising vs Orange County SC head-to-head page →

USL League One Cup table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Louisville City4400+912
2Colorado Springs4400+912
3Tampa Bay Rowdies4400+912
4San Antonio4400+512
5Charlotte Independence4400+412
6Miami FC4301+69
7Charleston Battery4301+59
8Birmingham Legion4301+59
9Hartford Athletic4301+59
10Rhode Island4301+49
11Sacramento Republic4301+49
12Boise4301+39
13New Mexico United4301+39
14Indy Eleven4301+39
15One Knoxville4301+29
16Spokane Velocity430109
17Brooklyn4202+46
18Pittsburgh Riverhounds4202+36
19Lexington420206
20El Paso Locomotive420206
21Detroit City420206
22Alta4202-16
23Union Omaha4202-26
24Portland Hearts of Pine4202-36
25Monterey Bay4103-23
26Oakland Roots4103-23
27Sporting JAX4103-23
28FC Tulsa4103-33
29Greenville Triumph4103-33
30Las Vegas Lights4103-33
31Loudoun United4103-33
32Forward Madison4103-43
33Westchester SC4103-43
34Corpus Christi4103-43
35Phoenix Rising4103-53
36NY Cosmos4103-63
37Naples4103-63
38Richmond Kickers4103-63
39Sarasota Paradise4103-73
40Chattanooga Red Wolves4004-50
41Fort Wayne4004-60
42Orange County SC4004-60

More USL League One Cup predictions

League hub
FT Oakland Roots0 Sacramento Republic1 130%2.75X28%2.95242%2.50 1.1–1.4xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 75%@1.22 ✓
FT Corpus Christi0 FC Tulsa1 124%3.55X23%3.75252%1.80 0.9–1.3xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 74%@1.40 ✓
FT Boise4 Monterey Bay3 149%2.05X24%3.50227%3.10 1.6–1.0xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 70%@1.40 ✗
FT Colorado Springs4 New Mexico United0 148%1.73X26%3.65226%4.10 1.4–1.1xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 71%@1.40 ✗
– Naples1 Sporting JAX1 Pens 2–0 144%2.40X23%3.45233%2.55 1.7–1.2xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 76%@1.25 ✓
FT Union Omaha1 Louisville City5 122%5.60X23%4.00255%1.48 1.3–1.7xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 78%@1.22 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Phoenix Rising vs Orange County SC?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Phoenix Rising vs Orange County SC?

On our numbers Phoenix Rising have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Orange County SC 28%.

How many goals will there be in Phoenix Rising vs Orange County SC?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Phoenix Rising vs Orange County SC?

Our predicted score is Phoenix Rising 1–1 Orange County SC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Phoenix Rising vs Orange County SC?

Phoenix Rising vs Orange County SC (USL League One Cup) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Wild Horse Pass Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.