Boise vs Monterey Bay: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 17 May the USL League One Cup brings Boise against Monterey Bay. Kick-off: 02:00 WAT. In the table, Boise are 12th, upper half, on 9 points after 4 matches; Monterey Bay are 25th (lower half) with 3.
Current form
Boise, last 5: WLWDW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Naples, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Monterey Bay, last 5: LLLDL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Lexington, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Boise, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.3 for Monterey Bay.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Boise 1.6 xG, Monterey Bay 1.0 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Boise 49%, draw 24%, Monterey Bay 27%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.57.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (70%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Boise 1–0 Monterey Bay. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Boise49%fair 2.05 · @2.05
Draw24%fair 4.21 · @3.50
Monterey Bay27%fair 3.64 · @3.10
2.55Expected goals
1.57Boise xG
0.98Monterey Bay xG
58%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
1–112%
2–010%
2–19%
0–08%
0–18%
From our goals model: Boise 1.6 – 1.0 Monterey Bay expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Boise to win✓
49%
2.05
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.73
1.57
Draw no bet
Boise (draw no bet)✓
64%
1.56
–
Asian handicap
Monterey Bay +1 (Asian handicap)
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.34
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
70%
1.42
1.40
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
88%
1.13
–
First team to score
Boise to score first
57%
1.76
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Boise / FT Boise✗
31%
3.25
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.60
–
Recent results
Boise – last 6
WLWDWD
14 May
vs Naples
2–0
W
7 May
@ Charlotte Independence
0–1
L
3 May
vs Chattanooga Red Wolves
2–1
W
26 Apr
@ Las Vegas Lights
1–1
D
19 Apr
vs Westchester SC
4–0
W
12 Apr
@ Alta
2–2
D
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Monterey Bay – last 6
LLLDLD
9 May
@ Lexington
1–3
L
4 May
vs FC Tulsa
1–2
L
12 Apr
@ Indy Eleven
1–3
L
5 Apr
vs San Antonio
0–0
D
29 Mar
@ Las Vegas Lights
0–1
L
22 Mar
@ Sacramento Republic
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Boise and Monterey Bay.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Boise vs Monterey Bay?
On our numbers Boise have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Monterey Bay 27%.
How many goals will there be in Boise vs Monterey Bay?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Boise vs Monterey Bay?
Our predicted score is Boise 1–0 Monterey Bay, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Boise vs Monterey Bay?
Boise vs Monterey Bay (USL League One Cup) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
