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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Colorado Springs v New Mexico United: numbers & prediction

USL League One Cup · USA · Weidner Field
Colorado Springs 48%Draw 26%New Mexico United 26% Expected goals 1.38 – 1.09
71%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.40 · bookmaker 1.40 · Lost ✗

7/10Rating
1.40Odds

Picks by market

ResultColorado Springs to win ✓48% · @1.73
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.41

Colorado Springs vs New Mexico United: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 17 May the USL League One Cup brings Colorado Springs against New Mexico United at Weidner Field. Kick-off: 02:00 WAT. In the table, Colorado Springs are 2nd, among the top four, on 12 points after 4 matches; New Mexico United are 13th (upper half) with 9. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Colorado Springs, last 5: DDWWL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Orange County SC, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

New Mexico United, last 5: WDWLW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Las Vegas Lights, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Colorado Springs 1.4 xG, New Mexico United 1.1 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 55%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Colorado Springs 48%, draw 26%, New Mexico United 26%.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.65.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (71%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Colorado Springs 1–1 New Mexico United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Colorado Springs48%fair 2.06 · @1.73
Draw26%fair 3.90 · @3.65
New Mexico United26%fair 3.87 · @4.10
2.46Expected goals
1.38Colorado Springs xG
1.09New Mexico United xG
55%Both score
50%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–012%
0–19%
2–19%
0–09%
2–08%

From our goals model: Colorado Springs 1.4 – 1.1 New Mexico United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultColorado Springs to win ✓48%2.061.73
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74%1.351.18
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗55%1.811.65
Draw no betColorado Springs (draw no bet) ✓65%1.53–
Asian handicapNew Mexico United +1 (Asian handicap) ✗73%1.36–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73%1.361.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗50%1.992.05
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗71%1.401.40
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓90%1.12–
First team to scoreColorado Springs to score first ✓51%1.96–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗44%2.25–
Half-time / full-timeHT Colorado Springs / FT Colorado Springs ✓25%3.94–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.41–

Recent results

Colorado Springs – last 6

DDWWLW
9 Mayvs Orange County SC2–2D
3 May@ San Antonio3–3D
26 Apr@ Phoenix Rising1–0W
15 Aprvs Sporting Kansas City3–0W
22 Mar@ Orange County SC0–1L
18 Marvs Azteca3–0W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

New Mexico United – last 6

WDWLWL
10 Mayvs Las Vegas Lights3–1W
7 Mayvs El Paso Locomotive2–2D
26 Aprvs Alta2–1W
12 Apr@ Phoenix Rising0–3L
5 Apr@ Orange County SC1–0W
2 Aprvs El Paso Locomotive0–4L
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Colorado Springs and New Mexico United.

Colorado Springs vs New Mexico United head-to-head page →

USL League One Cup table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Louisville City4400+912
2Colorado Springs4400+912
3Tampa Bay Rowdies4400+912
4San Antonio4400+512
5Charlotte Independence4400+412
6Miami FC4301+69
7Charleston Battery4301+59
8Birmingham Legion4301+59
9Hartford Athletic4301+59
10Rhode Island4301+49
11Sacramento Republic4301+49
12Boise4301+39
13New Mexico United4301+39
14Indy Eleven4301+39
15One Knoxville4301+29
16Spokane Velocity430109
17Brooklyn4202+46
18Pittsburgh Riverhounds4202+36
19Lexington420206
20El Paso Locomotive420206
21Detroit City420206
22Alta4202-16
23Union Omaha4202-26
24Portland Hearts of Pine4202-36
25Monterey Bay4103-23
26Oakland Roots4103-23
27Sporting JAX4103-23
28FC Tulsa4103-33
29Greenville Triumph4103-33
30Las Vegas Lights4103-33
31Loudoun United4103-33
32Forward Madison4103-43
33Westchester SC4103-43
34Corpus Christi4103-43
35Phoenix Rising4103-53
36NY Cosmos4103-63
37Naples4103-63
38Richmond Kickers4103-63
39Sarasota Paradise4103-73
40Chattanooga Red Wolves4004-50
41Fort Wayne4004-60
42Orange County SC4004-60

More USL League One Cup predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Colorado Springs vs New Mexico United?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.

Who will win Colorado Springs vs New Mexico United?

On our numbers Colorado Springs have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 26% and New Mexico United 26%.

How many goals will there be in Colorado Springs vs New Mexico United?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Colorado Springs vs New Mexico United?

Our predicted score is Colorado Springs 1–1 New Mexico United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Colorado Springs vs New Mexico United?

Colorado Springs vs New Mexico United (USL League One Cup) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Weidner Field.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.