Racing Montevideo 36%Draw 28%Liverpool Montevideo 35%Expected goals 1.10 – 1.13
65%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.44
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Picks by market
ResultRacing Montevideo to win36% · @2.52
Double chanceEither team to win72% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score53% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals80% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–17% · fair 13.63
Racing Montevideo vs Liverpool Montevideo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Racing Montevideo welcome Liverpool Montevideo to Estadio Osvaldo Roberto for a Primera División Apertura fixture on Saturday 21 March (14:00 WAT). In the table, Racing Montevideo are 6th, upper half, on 19 points after 13 matches; Liverpool Montevideo are 1st (leading the league) with 30.
Current form
Racing Montevideo, last 5: WLWWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Cerro, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.6 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Liverpool Montevideo, last 5: DWWDD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Atletico Torque, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Racing Montevideo, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.5 for Liverpool Montevideo.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Racing Montevideo 1.1 xG, Liverpool Montevideo 1.1 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 53%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Racing Montevideo 36%, draw 28%, Liverpool Montevideo 35%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.93.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (65%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Racing Montevideo 1–1 Liverpool Montevideo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Racing Montevideo36%fair 2.74 · @2.52
Draw28%fair 3.54 · @3.10
Liverpool Montevideo35%fair 2.83 · @2.72
2.23Expected goals
1.10Racing Montevideo xG
1.13Liverpool Montevideo xG
53%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–112%
1–012%
0–011%
1–28%
2–17%
From our goals model: Racing Montevideo 1.1 – 1.1 Liverpool Montevideo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Racing Montevideo
Liverpool Montevideo
Attack vs Primera División Apertura average
+9%
+15%
Goals conceded vs average
-12%
-31%
Our expected goals here
0.97
1.08
Our own ratings from every Primera División Apertura result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Racing Montevideo to win
36%
2.74
2.52
Double chance
Either team to win
72%
1.39
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
53%
1.89
1.93
Draw no bet
Racing Montevideo (draw no bet)
51%
1.97
–
Asian handicap
Racing Montevideo +0.5 (Asian handicap)
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
65%
1.54
1.44
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
61%
1.64
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
80%
1.25
1.18
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
92%
1.08
–
First team to score
Liverpool Montevideo to score first
45%
2.21
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Liverpool Montevideo / FT Liverpool Montevideo
21%
4.88
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
7%
13.63
–
Recent results
Racing Montevideo – last 5
WLWWD
8 Mar
vs Cerro
1–0
W
5 Mar
@ Boston River
0–1
L
28 Feb
@ Albion FC
3–1
W
21 Feb
vs Danubio
4–0
W
15 Feb
@ Club Nacional
1–1
D
1.8Scored / game
0.6Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Liverpool Montevideo – last 6
DWWDDL
17 Mar
vs Atletico Torque
0–0
D
10 Mar
@ Boston River
1–0
W
1 Mar
vs Cerro Largo
2–0
W
25 Feb
@ Independiente Medellin
0–0
D
20 Feb
@ Cerro
1–1
D
18 Feb
vs Independiente Medellin
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Racing Montevideo and Liverpool Montevideo.
What is the prediction for Racing Montevideo vs Liverpool Montevideo?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Racing Montevideo vs Liverpool Montevideo?
On our numbers Racing Montevideo have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Liverpool Montevideo 35%.
How many goals will there be in Racing Montevideo vs Liverpool Montevideo?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Racing Montevideo vs Liverpool Montevideo?
Our predicted score is Racing Montevideo 1–1 Liverpool Montevideo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Racing Montevideo vs Liverpool Montevideo?
Racing Montevideo vs Liverpool Montevideo (Primera División Apertura) kicks off on Saturday 21 March 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Osvaldo Roberto.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
