Value bet: Atletico Torque to win @ 1.78 – our chance 62% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultAtletico Torque to win62% · @1.78
Double chanceAtletico Torque or draw84% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score53% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110% · fair 10.52
Atletico Torque vs Central Espanol: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Central Espanol travel to face Atletico Torque on Saturday 21 March in the Primera División Apertura, with Estadio Centenario the venue – the ball rolls at 17:00 WAT. In the table, Atletico Torque are 2nd, among the top four, on 28 points after 13 matches; Central Espanol are 16th (in the drop zone) with 8. There are 20 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Atletico Torque, last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Liverpool Montevideo, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Central Espanol, last 5: LDLWW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Cerro Largo, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Atletico Torque, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.4 for Central Espanol.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Atletico Torque 1.9 xG, Central Espanol 0.7 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Atletico Torque 62%, draw 22%, Central Espanol 16%.
Lower-risk option: Atletico Torque or draw (84%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Atletico Torque to win @1.78 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 62%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atletico Torque 1–0 Central Espanol. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Atletico Torque62%fair 1.62 · @1.78
Draw22%fair 4.54 · @3.35
Central Espanol16%fair 6.09 · @4.33
2.60Expected goals
1.86Atletico Torque xG
0.74Central Espanol xG
53%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–013%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Atletico Torque 1.9 – 0.7 Central Espanol expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Atletico Torque
Central Espanol
Attack vs Primera División Apertura average
+43%
-31%
Goals conceded vs average
+2%
+24%
Our expected goals here
2.27
0.76
Our own ratings from every Primera División Apertura result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atletico Torque to win
62%
1.62
1.78 ▲
Double chance
Atletico Torque or draw
84%
1.20
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
53%
1.90
1.85
Draw no bet
Atletico Torque (draw no bet)
79%
1.27
–
Asian handicap
Atletico Torque -0.5 (Asian handicap)
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
71%
1.41
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
54%
1.87
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
74%
1.35
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
88%
1.14
–
First team to score
Atletico Torque to score first
66%
1.51
–
Half-time result
Atletico Torque ahead at half-time
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atletico Torque / FT Atletico Torque
41%
2.46
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
10%
10.52
–
Recent results
Atletico Torque – last 6
DWWWWD
17 Mar
@ Liverpool Montevideo
0–0
D
9 Mar
@ Cerro Largo
1–0
W
3 Mar
vs Defensor Sporting
1–0
W
27 Feb
vs Defensor Sporting
1–0
W
22 Feb
@ Wanderers
4–0
W
17 Feb
vs Juventud
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Central Espanol – last 5
LDLWW
15 Mar
vs Cerro Largo
1–3
L
9 Mar
@ Defensor Sporting
0–0
D
1 Mar
vs Wanderers
0–1
L
22 Feb
@ Juventud
1–0
W
16 Feb
vs Penarol
2–1
W
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atletico Torque and Central Espanol.
What is the prediction for Atletico Torque vs Central Espanol?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Atletico Torque vs Central Espanol?
On our numbers Atletico Torque have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Central Espanol 16%.
How many goals will there be in Atletico Torque vs Central Espanol?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atletico Torque vs Central Espanol?
Our predicted score is Atletico Torque 1–0 Central Espanol, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Atletico Torque vs Central Espanol?
Atletico Torque vs Central Espanol (Primera División Apertura) kicks off on Saturday 21 March 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Centenario.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
