Wanderers vs Danubio: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Wanderers welcome Danubio for a Primera División Apertura fixture on Saturday 21 March (20:00 WAT). In the table, Wanderers are 10th, lower half, on 16 points after 13 matches; Danubio are 14th (in the drop zone) with 10.
Current form
Wanderers, last 4: LDWL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Club Nacional, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Danubio, last 4: WDLW Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Juventud, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Danubio, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.0 for Wanderers.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Wanderers 1.2 xG, Danubio 1.0 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 38%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Wanderers 38%, draw 29%, Danubio 33%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.95.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (64%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: Wanderers 1–1 Danubio. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Wanderers38%fair 2.63 · @2.78
Draw29%fair 3.51 · @3.00
Danubio33%fair 2.99 · @2.52
2.23Expected goals
1.25Wanderers xG
0.99Danubio xG
54%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
1–113%
0–011%
0–111%
2–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Wanderers 1.2 – 1.0 Danubio expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Wanderers
Danubio
Attack vs Primera División Apertura average
-1%
-33%
Goals conceded vs average
+10%
-1%
Our expected goals here
1.26
0.79
Our own ratings from every Primera División Apertura result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Wanderers to win
38%
2.63
2.78 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win
71%
1.40
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
54%
1.85
1.95 ▲
Draw no bet
Wanderers (draw no bet)
53%
1.88
–
Asian handicap
Danubio +1 (Asian handicap)
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
64%
1.55
1.48
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
62%
1.62
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
81%
1.24
1.17
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
92%
1.08
–
First team to score
Wanderers to score first
50%
2.01
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Wanderers / FT Wanderers
24%
4.13
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
8%
12.18
–
Recent results
Wanderers – last 4
LDWL
14 Mar
@ Club Nacional
0–2
L
7 Mar
vs Deportivo Maldonado
0–0
D
1 Mar
@ Central Espanol
1–0
W
22 Feb
vs Atletico Torque
0–4
L
0.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Danubio – last 4
WDLW
16 Mar
vs Juventud
4–1
W
8 Mar
@ Penarol
1–1
D
21 Feb
@ Racing Montevideo
0–4
L
15 Feb
vs Boston River
2–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Wanderers and Danubio.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Wanderers vs Danubio?
On our numbers Wanderers have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Danubio 33%.
How many goals will there be in Wanderers vs Danubio?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Wanderers vs Danubio?
Our predicted score is Wanderers 1–1 Danubio, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Wanderers vs Danubio?
Wanderers vs Danubio (Primera División Apertura) kicks off on Saturday 21 March 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
