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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Boca Juniors v Barcelona SC: numbers & prediction

CONMEBOL Libertadores · South America · Alberto Jose Armando

Boca Juniors

DWWWD
3–0
FT

Barcelona SC

WLWDD
Boca Juniors 64%Draw 24%Barcelona SC 12% Expected goals 1.54 – 0.57
79%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultBoca Juniors to win ✓64% · @1.29
Double chanceBoca Juniors or draw ✓88% · @1.04
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · @1.42
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.35

Boca Juniors vs Barcelona SC: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

01:00 WAT, Wednesday 15 April: Boca Juniors v Barcelona SC in the CONMEBOL Libertadores, played at Alberto Jose Armando. In the table, Boca Juniors are 3rd on 7 points after 6 matches; Barcelona SC are 4th with 3.

Current form

Boca Juniors, last 5: DWWWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Independiente, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.

Barcelona SC, last 5: WLWDD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Leones del Norte, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Boca Juniors 1.5 xG, Barcelona SC 0.6 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Boca Juniors 64%, draw 24%, Barcelona SC 12%.
  • GG/NG: NG (54%) at 1.42.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (79%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Boca Juniors 1–0 Barcelona SC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Boca Juniors64%fair 1.55 · @1.29
Draw24%fair 4.20 · @4.70
Barcelona SC12%fair 8.49 · @12.50
2.11Expected goals
1.54Boca Juniors xG
0.57Barcelona SC xG
46%Both score
40%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–019%
2–014%
0–012%
1–111%
2–18%
3–07%

From our goals model: Boca Juniors 1.5 – 0.6 Barcelona SC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBoca Juniors to win ✓64%1.551.29
Double chanceBoca Juniors or draw ✓88%1.131.04
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓54%1.851.42
Draw no betBoca Juniors (draw no bet) ✓85%1.18–
Asian handicapBoca Juniors -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.64–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓66%1.521.36
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗60%1.671.73
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79%1.261.25
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓91%1.101.08
First team to scoreBoca Juniors to score first ✓64%1.56–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗47%2.15–
Half-time / full-timeHT Boca Juniors / FT Boca Juniors ✓37%2.69–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19%5.35–

Recent results

Boca Juniors – last 6

DWWWDD
11 Aprvs Independiente1–1D
8 Apr@ U. Catolica2–1W
3 Apr@ Talleres Cordoba1–0W
23 Marvs Instituto Cordoba2–0W
16 Mar@ Union Santa Fe1–1D
11 Marvs San Lorenzo1–1D
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Barcelona SC – last 6

WLWDDW
11 Aprvs Leones del Norte2–1W
8 Aprvs Cruzeiro0–1L
4 Apr@ LDU de Quito2–0W
19 Mar@ Libertad0–0D
16 Mar@ Guayaquil City FC0–0D
11 Mar@ Botafogo1–0W
0.8Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Boca Juniors and Barcelona SC.

Boca Juniors vs Barcelona SC head-to-head page →

CONMEBOL Libertadores table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1U. Catolica6411+413
2Cruzeiro6321+511
3Boca Juniors6213+17
4Barcelona SC6105-103

More CONMEBOL Libertadores predictions

League hub
FT Bolívar1 Deportivo La Guaira1 165%1.22X19%5.60216%14.00 1.6–0.7xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 70%@1.60 ✓
FT LDU de Quito2 Mirassol0 153%1.76X26%3.70221%4.30 1.2–0.7xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 79%@1.33 ✓
FT Universitario0 Coquimbo Unido2 148%1.90X28%3.10224%4.50 1.2–0.9xG 1XUniversitario or draw 76%@1.20 ✗
FT Cruzeiro1 U. Catolica2 157%1.48X24%3.90218%7.10 1.7–1.0xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 73%@1.28 ✓
FT Libertad Asuncion0 Rosario Central1 130%3.40X28%3.10243%2.22 1.0–1.3xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 79%@1.22 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Boca Juniors vs Barcelona SC?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Boca Juniors vs Barcelona SC?

On our numbers Boca Juniors have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Barcelona SC 12%.

How many goals will there be in Boca Juniors vs Barcelona SC?

We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Boca Juniors vs Barcelona SC?

Our predicted score is Boca Juniors 1–0 Barcelona SC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.

When is Boca Juniors vs Barcelona SC?

Boca Juniors vs Barcelona SC (CONMEBOL Libertadores) kicks off on Wednesday 15 April 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Alberto Jose Armando.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.