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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Libertad Asuncion v Rosario Central: numbers & prediction

CONMEBOL Libertadores · South America · Estadio Tigo La Huerta

Libertad Asuncion

DLLWL
0–1
FT

Rosario Central

DWLWD
Libertad Asuncion 30%Draw 28%Rosario Central 43% Expected goals 0.97 – 1.26
79%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.22Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.91 – our chance 56% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultRosario Central to win ✓43% · @2.22
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.06

Libertad Asuncion vs Rosario Central: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Libertad Asuncion welcome Rosario Central to Estadio Tigo La Huerta for a CONMEBOL Libertadores fixture on Wednesday 15 April (23:00 WAT). In the table, Libertad Asuncion are 4th on 0 points after 6 matches; Rosario Central are 2nd with 13. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Libertad Asuncion, last 5: DLLWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Sportivo Trinidense, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Rosario Central, last 5: DWLWD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Independiente del Valle, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Rosario Central, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.7 for Libertad Asuncion.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Libertad Asuncion 1.0 xG, Rosario Central 1.3 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 56%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Libertad Asuncion 30%, draw 28%, Rosario Central 43%.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.91.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 56%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (79%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Libertad Asuncion 0–1 Rosario Central. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Libertad Asuncion30%fair 3.36 · @3.40
Draw28%fair 3.61 · @3.10
Rosario Central43%fair 2.35 · @2.22
2.23Expected goals
0.97Libertad Asuncion xG
1.26Rosario Central xG
56%Both score
40%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–114%
1–113%
0–011%
1–010%
0–29%
1–28%

From our goals model: Libertad Asuncion 1.0 – 1.3 Rosario Central expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultRosario Central to win ✓43%2.352.22
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72%1.381.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗56%1.781.91 ▲
Draw no betRosario Central (draw no bet) ✓59%1.70–
Asian handicapLibertad Asuncion +1 (Asian handicap)75%1.34–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗66%1.521.42
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓60%1.671.62
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79%1.261.22
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓91%1.101.06
First team to scoreRosario Central to score first ✓50%1.98–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓47%2.13–
Half-time / full-timeHT Rosario Central / FT Rosario Central ✗25%4.04–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%12.06–

Recent results

Libertad Asuncion – last 6

DLLWLL
13 Aprvs Sportivo Trinidense1–1D
9 Apr@ UCV1–3L
6 Apr@ Club Guarani0–1L
31 Marvs Deportivo Recoleta1–0W
28 Mar@ Sportivo Ameliano0–2L
22 Marvs Cerro Porteno2–3L
0.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Rosario Central – last 6

DWLWDW
9 Aprvs Independiente del Valle0–0D
5 Aprvs Atletico Tucuman2–1W
23 Mar@ Independ. Rivadavia0–2L
15 Marvs Banfield2–1W
11 Mar@ Argentinos JRS0–0D
25 Feb@ Gimnasia L.P.2–1W
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Libertad Asuncion and Rosario Central.

Libertad Asuncion vs Rosario Central head-to-head page →

CONMEBOL Libertadores table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Independiente del Valle6411+513
2Rosario Central6411+813
3UCV6303-49
4Libertad Asuncion6006-90

More CONMEBOL Libertadores predictions

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FT Boca Juniors3 Barcelona SC0 164%1.29X24%4.70212%12.50 1.5–0.6xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 79%@1.25 ✓
FT Bolívar1 Deportivo La Guaira1 165%1.22X19%5.60216%14.00 1.6–0.7xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 70%@1.60 ✓
FT LDU de Quito2 Mirassol0 153%1.76X26%3.70221%4.30 1.2–0.7xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 79%@1.33 ✓
FT Universitario0 Coquimbo Unido2 148%1.90X28%3.10224%4.50 1.2–0.9xG 1XUniversitario or draw 76%@1.20 ✗
FT Cruzeiro1 U. Catolica2 157%1.48X24%3.90218%7.10 1.7–1.0xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 73%@1.28 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Libertad Asuncion vs Rosario Central?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Libertad Asuncion vs Rosario Central?

On our numbers Libertad Asuncion have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Rosario Central 43%.

How many goals will there be in Libertad Asuncion vs Rosario Central?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Libertad Asuncion vs Rosario Central?

Our predicted score is Libertad Asuncion 0–1 Rosario Central, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Libertad Asuncion vs Rosario Central?

Libertad Asuncion vs Rosario Central (CONMEBOL Libertadores) kicks off on Wednesday 15 April 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Tigo La Huerta.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.