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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Bolívar v Deportivo La Guaira: numbers & prediction

CONMEBOL Libertadores · South America · Estadio Hernando Siles

Bolívar

LWLWW
1–1
FT

Deportivo La Guaira

WDDDD
Bolívar 65%Draw 19%Deportivo La Guaira 16% Expected goals 1.57 – 0.72
70%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.44 · bookmaker 1.60 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.60Odds

Picks by market

ResultBolívar to win ✗65% · @1.22
Double chanceBolívar or draw ✓84% · @1.03
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @2.05
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.14

Bolívar vs Deportivo La Guaira: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Wednesday 15 April the CONMEBOL Libertadores brings Bolívar against Deportivo La Guaira at Estadio Hernando Siles. Kick-off: 01:00 WAT. In the table, Bolívar are 3rd on 5 points after 6 matches; Deportivo La Guaira are 4th with 3. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Bolívar, last 5: LWLWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Independ. Rivadavia, away. 3.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Deportivo La Guaira, last 5: WDDDD Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Deportivo Tachira FC, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Bolívar 1.6 xG, Deportivo La Guaira 0.7 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 54%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Bolívar 65%, draw 19%, Deportivo La Guaira 16%.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.05.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (70%, odds 1.60 – longer than our fair 1.44, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bolívar 1–0 Deportivo La Guaira. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Bolívar65%fair 1.53 · @1.22
Draw19%fair 5.25 · @5.60
Deportivo La Guaira16%fair 6.44 · @14.00
2.29Expected goals
1.57Bolívar xG
0.72Deportivo La Guaira xG
54%Both score
51%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–016%
2–012%
1–111%
0–010%
2–19%
0–17%

From our goals model: Bolívar 1.6 – 0.7 Deportivo La Guaira expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBolívar to win ✗65%1.531.22
Double chanceBolívar or draw ✓84%1.181.03
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓54%1.862.05 ▲
Draw no betBolívar (draw no bet)81%1.24–
Asian handicapDeportivo La Guaira +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓69%1.45–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74%1.351.17
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗51%1.971.53
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓70%1.441.60 ▲
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓84%1.191.22
First team to scoreBolívar to score first ✗62%1.62–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗45%2.22–
Half-time / full-timeHT Bolívar / FT Bolívar ✗35%2.85–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.14–

Recent results

Bolívar – last 5

LWLWW
7 Apr@ Independ. Rivadavia0–1L
3 Aprvs Real Oruro5–2W
5 Mar@ Always Ready2–3L
26 Febvs Blooming5–1W
20 Feb@ Real Potosí3–1W
3.0Scored / game
1.6Conceded / game
80%Both scored
80%Over 2.5

Deportivo La Guaira – last 6

WDDDDW
10 Apr@ Deportivo Tachira FC3–2W
7 Aprvs Fluminense0–0D
3 Aprvs Carabobo FC1–1D
17 Mar@ Academia Anzoátegui0–0D
14 Marvs Puerto Cabello0–0D
6 Mar@ Estudiantes de Merida FC1–0W
0.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Bolívar and Deportivo La Guaira.

Bolívar vs Deportivo La Guaira head-to-head page →

CONMEBOL Libertadores table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Independ. Rivadavia6510+916
2Fluminense622208
3Bolívar6123-25
4Deportivo La Guaira6033-73

More CONMEBOL Libertadores predictions

League hub
FT Boca Juniors3 Barcelona SC0 164%1.29X24%4.70212%12.50 1.5–0.6xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 79%@1.25 ✓
FT LDU de Quito2 Mirassol0 153%1.76X26%3.70221%4.30 1.2–0.7xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 79%@1.33 ✓
FT Universitario0 Coquimbo Unido2 148%1.90X28%3.10224%4.50 1.2–0.9xG 1XUniversitario or draw 76%@1.20 ✗
FT Cruzeiro1 U. Catolica2 157%1.48X24%3.90218%7.10 1.7–1.0xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 73%@1.28 ✓
FT Libertad Asuncion0 Rosario Central1 130%3.40X28%3.10243%2.22 1.0–1.3xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 79%@1.22 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Bolívar vs Deportivo La Guaira?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.

Who will win Bolívar vs Deportivo La Guaira?

On our numbers Bolívar have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Deportivo La Guaira 16%.

How many goals will there be in Bolívar vs Deportivo La Guaira?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Bolívar vs Deportivo La Guaira?

Our predicted score is Bolívar 1–0 Deportivo La Guaira, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Bolívar vs Deportivo La Guaira?

Bolívar vs Deportivo La Guaira (CONMEBOL Libertadores) kicks off on Wednesday 15 April 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Hernando Siles.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.