Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultFluminense to win ✗59% · @1.64
Double chanceFluminense or draw ✗83% · @1.15
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.38
Fluminense vs Independ. Rivadavia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Independ. Rivadavia travel to face Fluminense on Thursday 16 April in the CONMEBOL Libertadores, with Estádio do Maracanã the venue – the ball rolls at 01:30 WAT. In the table, Fluminense are 2nd on 8 points after 6 matches; Independ. Rivadavia are 1st with 16.
Current form
Fluminense, last 5: DDWLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Deportivo La Guaira, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Independ. Rivadavia, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Bolívar, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Fluminense 1.3 xG, Independ. Rivadavia 0.6 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 63%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Fluminense 59%, draw 24%, Independ. Rivadavia 17%.
Lower-risk option: Fluminense or draw (83%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.67.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (82%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Fluminense 1–0 Independ. Rivadavia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Fluminense59%fair 1.71 · @1.64
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @3.65
Independ. Rivadavia17%fair 5.81 · @5.40
1.96Expected goals
1.32Fluminense xG
0.64Independ. Rivadavia xG
47%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–019%
0–014%
2–012%
1–112%
0–19%
2–18%
From our goals model: Fluminense 1.3 – 0.6 Independ. Rivadavia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Fluminense to win✗
59%
1.71
1.64
Double chance
Fluminense or draw✗
83%
1.21
1.15
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
53%
1.90
1.67
Draw no bet
Fluminense (draw no bet)✗
77%
1.29
–
Asian handicap
Independ. Rivadavia +1 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
1.07
First team to score
Fluminense to score first
58%
1.73
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
49%
2.02
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Fluminense / FT Fluminense✗
31%
3.21
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
19%
5.38
–
Recent results
Fluminense – last 6
DDWLWW
7 Apr
@ Deportivo La Guaira
0–0
D
5 Apr
@ Coritiba
1–1
D
2 Apr
vs Corinthians
3–1
W
19 Mar
@ Vasco DA Gama
2–3
L
15 Mar
vs Atletico Paranaense
3–2
W
12 Mar
@ remo
2–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Independ. Rivadavia – last 6
WWWWLD
7 Apr
vs Bolívar
1–0
W
2 Apr
@ Tigre
2–0
W
23 Mar
vs Rosario Central
2–0
W
15 Mar
@ Gimnasia L.P.
3–2
W
12 Mar
vs Barracas Central
1–2
L
3 Mar
vs River Plate
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Fluminense and Independ. Rivadavia.
What is the prediction for Fluminense vs Independ. Rivadavia?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Fluminense vs Independ. Rivadavia?
On our numbers Fluminense have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Independ. Rivadavia 17%.
How many goals will there be in Fluminense vs Independ. Rivadavia?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fluminense vs Independ. Rivadavia?
Our predicted score is Fluminense 1–0 Independ. Rivadavia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Fluminense vs Independ. Rivadavia?
Fluminense vs Independ. Rivadavia (CONMEBOL Libertadores) kicks off on Thursday 16 April 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Estádio do Maracanã.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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