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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Lanus v Always Ready: numbers & prediction

CONMEBOL Libertadores · South America · Estadio Ciudad de Lanus

Lanus

WLDLW
1–0
FT

Always Ready

DLWWW
Lanus 61%Draw 21%Always Ready 18% Expected goals 1.43 – 0.83
72%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.38 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.48Odds
U2.5

Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 2.20 – our chance 52% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultLanus to win ✓61% · @1.25
Double chanceLanus or draw ✓82% · @1.03
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.20
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓72% · @1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.31

Lanus vs Always Ready: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

23:00 WAT, Thursday 16 April: Lanus v Always Ready in the CONMEBOL Libertadores, played at Estadio Ciudad de Lanus. In the table, Lanus are 3rd on 9 points after 6 matches; Always Ready are 4th with 3.

Current form

Lanus, last 5: WLDLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Banfield, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Always Ready, last 5: DLWWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Aurora, away. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Lanus 1.4 xG, Always Ready 0.8 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 51%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Lanus 61%, draw 21%, Always Ready 18%.
  • GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.20.
  • Price worth noting: Under 2.5 goals @2.20 – the bookmaker implies 45%, our ratings say 52%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (72%, odds 1.48 – longer than our fair 1.38, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lanus 1–0 Always Ready. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Lanus61%fair 1.64 · @1.25
Draw21%fair 4.67 · @5.70
Always Ready18%fair 5.70 · @10.75
2.26Expected goals
1.43Lanus xG
0.83Always Ready xG
51%Both score
48%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–015%
1–112%
2–011%
0–010%
2–19%
0–19%

From our goals model: Lanus 1.4 – 0.8 Always Ready expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLanus to win ✓61%1.641.25
Double chanceLanus or draw ✓82%1.211.03
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗51%1.952.20 ▲
Draw no betLanus (draw no bet) ✓78%1.29–
Asian handicapAlways Ready +1 (Asian handicap)66%1.52–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗72%1.391.20
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓52%1.932.20 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓72%1.381.48 ▲
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.161.18
First team to scoreLanus to score first ✓57%1.77–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓46%2.17–
Half-time / full-timeHT Lanus / FT Lanus ✗30%3.30–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.31–

Recent results

Lanus – last 6

WLDLWW
13 Aprvs Banfield1–0W
8 Apr@ Mirassol0–1L
2 Aprvs Platense0–0D
27 Mar@ Argentinos JRS1–2L
17 Marvs Newells Old Boys5–0W
14 Mar@ Estudiantes L.P.1–0W
1.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Always Ready – last 6

DLWWWW
12 Apr@ Aurora1–1D
8 Aprvs LDU de Quito0–1L
5 Marvs Bolívar3–2W
2 Marvs Aurora3–1W
27 Feb@ Aurora2–1W
18 Febvs Gualberto Villarroel SJ3–0W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Lanus and Always Ready.

Lanus vs Always Ready head-to-head page →

CONMEBOL Libertadores table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1LDU de Quito6402+312
2Mirassol6402+312
3Lanus6303-49
4Always Ready6105-23

More CONMEBOL Libertadores predictions

League hub
FT Corinthians2 Santa Fe0 154%1.40X25%4.10222%9.00 1.3–0.9xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 80%@1.22 ✓
FT Fluminense1 Independ. Rivadavia2 159%1.64X24%3.65217%5.40 1.3–0.6xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 82%@1.22 ✓
FT Independiente del Valle3 UCV1 172%1.29X18%5.0029%10.50 2.2–0.7xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 78%@1.22 ✓
FT Palmeiras2 Sporting Cristal1 171%1.18X17%7.40212%11.50 2.0–0.8xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 64%@1.62 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Lanus vs Always Ready?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.

Who will win Lanus vs Always Ready?

On our numbers Lanus have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Always Ready 18%.

How many goals will there be in Lanus vs Always Ready?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Lanus vs Always Ready?

Our predicted score is Lanus 1–0 Always Ready, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Lanus vs Always Ready?

Lanus vs Always Ready (CONMEBOL Libertadores) kicks off on Thursday 16 April 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Ciudad de Lanus.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.