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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Deportes Tolima v Coquimbo Unido: numbers & prediction

CONMEBOL Libertadores · South America · Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro

Deportes Tolima

LWLLD
3–0
FT

Coquimbo Unido

WDWWL
Deportes Tolima 51%Draw 27%Coquimbo Unido 22% Expected goals 1.23 – 0.90
81%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.20 – our chance 52% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultDeportes Tolima to win ✓51% · @1.60
Double chanceDeportes Tolima or draw ✓78% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.20
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.38

Deportes Tolima vs Coquimbo Unido: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

03:00 WAT, Wednesday 29 April: Deportes Tolima v Coquimbo Unido in the CONMEBOL Libertadores, played at Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro. In the table, Deportes Tolima are 2nd on 8 points after 6 matches; Coquimbo Unido are 1st with 10. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Deportes Tolima, last 5: LWLLD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Millonarios, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Coquimbo Unido, last 5: WDWWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Universitario, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.4 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Coquimbo Unido, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.8 for Deportes Tolima.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Deportes Tolima 1.2 xG, Coquimbo Unido 0.9 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 62%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Deportes Tolima 51%, draw 27%, Coquimbo Unido 22%.
  • GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.20.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.20 – the bookmaker implies 45%, our ratings say 52%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (81%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Deportes Tolima 1–0 Coquimbo Unido. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Deportes Tolima51%fair 1.96 · @1.60
Draw27%fair 3.67 · @3.45
Coquimbo Unido22%fair 4.60 · @6.40
2.13Expected goals
1.23Deportes Tolima xG
0.90Coquimbo Unido xG
52%Both score
38%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–015%
1–113%
0–012%
0–111%
2–09%
2–18%

From our goals model: Deportes Tolima 1.2 – 0.9 Coquimbo Unido expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDeportes Tolima to win ✓51%1.961.60
Double chanceDeportes Tolima or draw ✓78%1.281.11
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗52%1.922.20 ▲
Draw no betDeportes Tolima (draw no bet) ✓70%1.43–
Asian handicapCoquimbo Unido +1 (Asian handicap) ✗74%1.34–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓64%1.561.44
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗62%1.621.60
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81%1.241.20
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓91%1.101.06
First team to scoreDeportes Tolima to score first ✓51%1.97–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓48%2.08–
Half-time / full-timeHT Deportes Tolima / FT Deportes Tolima ✗25%3.99–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%12.38–

Recent results

Deportes Tolima – last 6

LWLLDD
24 Apr@ Millonarios0–2L
19 Aprvs Deportivo Pereira2–0W
14 Apr@ Club Nacional1–3L
11 Apr@ Deportivo Pasto0–1L
8 Aprvs Universitario0–0D
5 Aprvs Santa Fe2–2D
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Coquimbo Unido – last 5

WDWWL
15 Apr@ Universitario2–0W
8 Aprvs Club Nacional1–1D
29 Marvs Concepción2–1W
25 Mar@ Huachipato1–0W
22 Feb@ U. Catolica1–3L
1.4Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Deportes Tolima and Coquimbo Unido.

Deportes Tolima vs Coquimbo Unido head-to-head page →

CONMEBOL Libertadores table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Coquimbo Unido6312+210
2Deportes Tolima6222+18
3Club Nacional6222-28
4Universitario6132-16

More CONMEBOL Libertadores predictions

League hub
FT UCV0 Rosario Central3 119%5.40X24%3.65257%1.64 0.9–1.6xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 74%@1.30 ✓
FT Cruzeiro1 Boca Juniors0 137%2.35X28%2.92234%3.30 1.2–1.2xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 78%@1.20 ✓
FT Sporting Cristal2 Junior0 148%2.50X24%3.20228%2.82 1.7–1.1xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 70%@1.45 ✓
FT Mirassol2 Always Ready0 161%1.24X21%5.70218%11.50 1.5–0.9xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 70%@1.48 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Deportes Tolima vs Coquimbo Unido?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Deportes Tolima vs Coquimbo Unido?

On our numbers Deportes Tolima have a 51% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Coquimbo Unido 22%.

How many goals will there be in Deportes Tolima vs Coquimbo Unido?

We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Deportes Tolima vs Coquimbo Unido?

Our predicted score is Deportes Tolima 1–0 Coquimbo Unido, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.

When is Deportes Tolima vs Coquimbo Unido?

Deportes Tolima vs Coquimbo Unido (CONMEBOL Libertadores) kicks off on Wednesday 29 April 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.