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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Sporting Cristal v Junior: numbers & prediction

CONMEBOL Libertadores · South America · Estadio Alejandro Villanueva

Sporting Cristal

LLWLW
2–0
FT

Junior

WLDLW
Sporting Cristal 48%Draw 24%Junior 28% Expected goals 1.65 – 1.06
70%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.42 · bookmaker 1.45 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.45Odds
1

Value bet: Sporting Cristal to win @ 2.50 – our chance 48% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultSporting Cristal to win ✓48% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.41

Sporting Cristal vs Junior: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Wednesday 29 April the CONMEBOL Libertadores brings Sporting Cristal against Junior at Estadio Alejandro Villanueva. Kick-off: 03:00 WAT. In the table, Sporting Cristal are 3rd on 6 points after 6 matches; Junior are 4th with 4. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Sporting Cristal, last 5: LLWLW Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Atletico Grau, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Junior, last 5: WLDLW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Llaneros, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Sporting Cristal 1.7 xG, Junior 1.1 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 57%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Sporting Cristal 48%, draw 24%, Junior 28%.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.95.
  • Price worth noting: Sporting Cristal to win @2.50 – the bookmaker implies 40%, our ratings say 48%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (70%, odds 1.45). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sporting Cristal 1–1 Junior. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Sporting Cristal48%fair 2.07 · @2.50
Draw24%fair 4.17 · @3.20
Junior28%fair 3.61 · @2.82
2.71Expected goals
1.65Sporting Cristal xG
1.06Junior xG
57%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–011%
2–110%
2–09%
0–17%
0–07%

From our goals model: Sporting Cristal 1.7 – 1.1 Junior expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSporting Cristal to win ✓48%2.072.50 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76%1.321.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗57%1.761.95 ▲
Draw no betSporting Cristal (draw no bet) ✓64%1.57–
Asian handicapJunior +1 (Asian handicap) ✗64%1.56–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓70%1.421.45
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓54%1.841.57
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75%1.331.20
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓88%1.141.05
First team to scoreSporting Cristal to score first ✓57%1.76–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓41%2.41–
Half-time / full-timeHT Sporting Cristal / FT Sporting Cristal ✗31%3.21–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.41–

Recent results

Sporting Cristal – last 6

LLWLWW
22 Apr@ Atletico Grau1–4L
16 Apr@ Palmeiras1–2L
9 Aprvs Cerro Porteno1–0W
3 Aprvs UCV Moquegua1–2L
15 Marvs Sport Boys3–0W
4 Mar@ Carabobo FC1–0W
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Junior – last 6

WLDLWL
20 Aprvs Llaneros2–0W
14 Apr@ Cerro Porteno0–1L
9 Aprvs Palmeiras1–1D
4 Aprvs Deportivo Cali1–2L
25 Marvs Bucaramanga2–0W
20 Mar@ Independiente Medellin0–2L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Sporting Cristal and Junior.

Sporting Cristal vs Junior head-to-head page →

CONMEBOL Libertadores table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Cerro Porteno6411+413
2Palmeiras6321+511
3Sporting Cristal6204-36
4Junior6114-64

More CONMEBOL Libertadores predictions

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FT UCV0 Rosario Central3 119%5.40X24%3.65257%1.64 0.9–1.6xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 74%@1.30 ✓
FT Cruzeiro1 Boca Juniors0 137%2.35X28%2.92234%3.30 1.2–1.2xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 78%@1.20 ✓
FT Deportes Tolima3 Coquimbo Unido0 151%1.60X27%3.45222%6.40 1.2–0.9xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 81%@1.20 ✓
FT Mirassol2 Always Ready0 161%1.24X21%5.70218%11.50 1.5–0.9xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 70%@1.48 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sporting Cristal vs Junior?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.

Who will win Sporting Cristal vs Junior?

On our numbers Sporting Cristal have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Junior 28%.

How many goals will there be in Sporting Cristal vs Junior?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sporting Cristal vs Junior?

Our predicted score is Sporting Cristal 1–1 Junior, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Sporting Cristal vs Junior?

Sporting Cristal vs Junior (CONMEBOL Libertadores) kicks off on Wednesday 29 April 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Alejandro Villanueva.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.