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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

UCV v Rosario Central: numbers & prediction

CONMEBOL Libertadores · South America · Estadio Olimpico de la UCV

UCV

DLWLW
0–3
FT

Rosario Central

WWWDW
UCV 19%Draw 24%Rosario Central 57% Expected goals 0.89 – 1.58
74%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.34 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.30Odds

Picks by market

ResultRosario Central to win ✓57% · @1.64
Double chanceRosario Central or draw ✓81% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.63

UCV vs Rosario Central: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Rosario Central travel to face UCV on Wednesday 29 April in the CONMEBOL Libertadores, with Estadio Olimpico de la UCV the venue – the ball rolls at 01:00 WAT. In the table, UCV are 3rd on 9 points after 6 matches; Rosario Central are 2nd with 13.

Current form

UCV, last 5: DLWLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Deportivo Tachira FC, at home. Goals for and against: 1.4 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Rosario Central, last 5: WWWDW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Rosario Central, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.4 for UCV.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give UCV 0.9 xG, Rosario Central 1.6 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 52%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – UCV 19%, draw 24%, Rosario Central 57%.
  • Lower-risk option: Rosario Central or draw (81%) at 1.14.
  • GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.91.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: UCV 0–1 Rosario Central. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

UCV19%fair 5.17 · @5.40
Draw24%fair 4.16 · @3.65
Rosario Central57%fair 1.77 · @1.64
2.47Expected goals
0.89UCV xG
1.58Rosario Central xG
52%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–113%
1–112%
0–211%
1–29%
0–08%
1–08%

From our goals model: UCV 0.9 – 1.6 Rosario Central expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultRosario Central to win ✓57%1.771.64
Double chanceRosario Central or draw ✓81%1.241.14
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗52%1.911.91
Draw no betRosario Central (draw no bet) ✓75%1.34–
Asian handicapUCV +1 (Asian handicap) ✗62%1.61–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓71%1.411.33
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗54%1.861.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74%1.341.30
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓87%1.141.10
First team to scoreRosario Central to score first ✓59%1.71–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗44%2.30–
Half-time / full-timeHT Rosario Central / FT Rosario Central ✓32%3.08–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%10.63–

Recent results

UCV – last 5

DLWLW
20 Aprvs Deportivo Tachira FC1–1D
16 Apr@ Independiente del Valle1–3L
9 Aprvs Libertad Asuncion3–1W
17 Mar@ Puerto Cabello0–3L
22 Feb@ Caracas FC2–1W
1.4Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
80%Both scored
80%Over 2.5

Rosario Central – last 6

WWWDWL
24 Apr@ Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto2–1W
20 Aprvs Sarmiento Junin2–1W
15 Apr@ Libertad Asuncion1–0W
9 Aprvs Independiente del Valle0–0D
5 Aprvs Atletico Tucuman2–1W
23 Mar@ Independ. Rivadavia0–2L
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between UCV and Rosario Central.

UCV vs Rosario Central head-to-head page →

CONMEBOL Libertadores table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Independiente del Valle6411+513
2Rosario Central6411+813
3UCV6303-49
4Libertad Asuncion6006-90

More CONMEBOL Libertadores predictions

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FT Cruzeiro1 Boca Juniors0 137%2.35X28%2.92234%3.30 1.2–1.2xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 78%@1.20 ✓
FT Deportes Tolima3 Coquimbo Unido0 151%1.60X27%3.45222%6.40 1.2–0.9xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 81%@1.20 ✓
FT Sporting Cristal2 Junior0 148%2.50X24%3.20228%2.82 1.7–1.1xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 70%@1.45 ✓
FT Mirassol2 Always Ready0 161%1.24X21%5.70218%11.50 1.5–0.9xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 70%@1.48 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for UCV vs Rosario Central?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win UCV vs Rosario Central?

On our numbers UCV have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Rosario Central 57%.

How many goals will there be in UCV vs Rosario Central?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for UCV vs Rosario Central?

Our predicted score is UCV 0–1 Rosario Central, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is UCV vs Rosario Central?

UCV vs Rosario Central (CONMEBOL Libertadores) kicks off on Wednesday 29 April 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Olimpico de la UCV.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.