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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Mirassol v Always Ready: numbers & prediction

CONMEBOL Libertadores · South America · Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia

Mirassol

LDWLW
2–0
FT

Always Ready

WWLDL
Mirassol 61%Draw 21%Always Ready 18% Expected goals 1.53 – 0.93
70%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.42 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.48Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.15 – our chance 52% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultMirassol to win ✓61% · @1.24
Double chanceMirassol or draw ✓82% · @1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.15
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.76

Mirassol vs Always Ready: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Mirassol welcome Always Ready to Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia for a CONMEBOL Libertadores fixture on Wednesday 29 April (23:00 WAT). In the table, Mirassol are 2nd on 12 points after 6 matches; Always Ready are 4th with 3.

Current form

Mirassol, last 5: LDWLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Sao Paulo, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Always Ready, last 5: WWLDL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Guabirá, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Always Ready, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Mirassol.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Mirassol 1.5 xG, Always Ready 0.9 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 52%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Mirassol 61%, draw 21%, Always Ready 18%.
  • GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.15.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.15 – the bookmaker implies 47%, our ratings say 52%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (70%, odds 1.48 – longer than our fair 1.42, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mirassol 1–0 Always Ready. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Mirassol61%fair 1.63 · @1.24
Draw21%fair 4.76 · @5.70
Always Ready18%fair 5.70 · @11.50
2.45Expected goals
1.53Mirassol xG
0.93Always Ready xG
52%Both score
51%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–013%
1–112%
2–010%
2–19%
0–09%
0–18%

From our goals model: Mirassol 1.5 – 0.9 Always Ready expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMirassol to win ✓61%1.631.24
Double chanceMirassol or draw ✓82%1.211.04
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗52%1.912.15 ▲
Draw no betMirassol (draw no bet) ✓78%1.29–
Asian handicapAlways Ready +1 (Asian handicap) ✗65%1.54–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74%1.351.20
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗51%1.971.65
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓70%1.421.48
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓85%1.181.18
First team to scoreMirassol to score first ✓57%1.76–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗44%2.28–
Half-time / full-timeHT Mirassol / FT Mirassol ✓31%3.24–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.76–

Recent results

Mirassol – last 6

LDWLWL
26 Apr@ Sao Paulo0–1L
23 Apr@ RB Bragantino1–1D
19 Apr@ Internacional2–1W
15 Apr@ LDU de Quito0–2L
8 Aprvs Lanus1–0W
6 Aprvs RB Bragantino0–1L
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Always Ready – last 6

WWLDLW
26 Apr@ Guabirá2–1W
22 Aprvs Oriente Petrolero1–0W
16 Apr@ Lanus0–1L
12 Apr@ Aurora1–1D
8 Aprvs LDU de Quito0–1L
5 Marvs Bolívar3–2W
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Mirassol and Always Ready.

Mirassol vs Always Ready head-to-head page →

CONMEBOL Libertadores table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1LDU de Quito6402+312
2Mirassol6402+312
3Lanus6303-49
4Always Ready6105-23

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FT UCV0 Rosario Central3 119%5.40X24%3.65257%1.64 0.9–1.6xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 74%@1.30 ✓
FT Cruzeiro1 Boca Juniors0 137%2.35X28%2.92234%3.30 1.2–1.2xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 78%@1.20 ✓
FT Deportes Tolima3 Coquimbo Unido0 151%1.60X27%3.45222%6.40 1.2–0.9xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 81%@1.20 ✓
FT Sporting Cristal2 Junior0 148%2.50X24%3.20228%2.82 1.7–1.1xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 70%@1.45 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Mirassol vs Always Ready?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.

Who will win Mirassol vs Always Ready?

On our numbers Mirassol have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Always Ready 18%.

How many goals will there be in Mirassol vs Always Ready?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Mirassol vs Always Ready?

Our predicted score is Mirassol 1–0 Always Ready, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Mirassol vs Always Ready?

Mirassol vs Always Ready (CONMEBOL Libertadores) kicks off on Wednesday 29 April 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.