Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 57% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultIndepend. Rivadavia to win ✗41% · @2.32
Double chanceEither team to win ✗73% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.38
Independ. Rivadavia vs Fluminense: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Fluminense travel to face Independ. Rivadavia on Thursday 7 May in the CONMEBOL Libertadores, with Estadio Malvinas Argentinas the venue – the ball rolls at 01:30 WAT. In the table, Independ. Rivadavia are 1st on 16 points after 6 matches; Fluminense are 2nd with 8.
Current form
Independ. Rivadavia, last 5: WDWWW Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Deportivo La Guaira, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Fluminense, last 5: LDLDD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Bolívar, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Independ. Rivadavia, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.0 for Fluminense.
Head to head
When they last met (16 Apr 2026) it ended Fluminense 1–2 Independ. Rivadavia.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Independ. Rivadavia 1.2 xG, Fluminense 1.2 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Independ. Rivadavia 41%, draw 27%, Fluminense 32%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 57%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Independ. Rivadavia 1–1 Fluminense. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Independ. Rivadavia41%fair 2.45 · @2.32
Draw27%fair 3.67 · @3.05
Fluminense32%fair 3.13 · @3.20
2.45Expected goals
1.25Independ. Rivadavia xG
1.20Fluminense xG
57%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Independ. Rivadavia 1.2 – 1.2 Fluminense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Independ. Rivadavia vs Fluminense?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Independ. Rivadavia vs Fluminense?
On our numbers Independ. Rivadavia have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Fluminense 32%.
How many goals will there be in Independ. Rivadavia vs Fluminense?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Independ. Rivadavia vs Fluminense?
Our predicted score is Independ. Rivadavia 1–1 Fluminense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Independ. Rivadavia vs Fluminense?
Independ. Rivadavia vs Fluminense (CONMEBOL Libertadores) kicks off on Thursday 7 May 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Malvinas Argentinas.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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