Value bet: U. Catolica to win @ 2.96 – our chance 36% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultCruzeiro to win ✗38% · @2.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.09
U. Catolica vs Cruzeiro: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
U. Catolica welcome Cruzeiro to Claro Arena for a CONMEBOL Libertadores fixture on Thursday 7 May (03:00 WAT). In the table, U. Catolica are 1st on 13 points after 6 matches; Cruzeiro are 2nd with 11. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
U. Catolica, last 5: WLLWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Barcelona SC, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Cruzeiro, last 5: LWDWL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Atletico-MG, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (15 Apr 2026) it ended Cruzeiro 1–2 U. Catolica.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give U. Catolica 1.3 xG, Cruzeiro 1.3 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – U. Catolica 36%, draw 26%, Cruzeiro 38%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: U. Catolica to win @2.96 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 36%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (72%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: U. Catolica 1–1 Cruzeiro. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
U. Catolica36%fair 2.77 · @2.96
Draw26%fair 3.92 · @3.20
Cruzeiro38%fair 2.60 · @2.38
2.68Expected goals
1.34U. Catolica xG
1.35Cruzeiro xG
57%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–19%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: U. Catolica 1.3 – 1.3 Cruzeiro expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for U. Catolica vs Cruzeiro?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win U. Catolica vs Cruzeiro?
On our numbers U. Catolica have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Cruzeiro 38%.
How many goals will there be in U. Catolica vs Cruzeiro?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for U. Catolica vs Cruzeiro?
Our predicted score is U. Catolica 1–1 Cruzeiro, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is U. Catolica vs Cruzeiro?
U. Catolica vs Cruzeiro (CONMEBOL Libertadores) kicks off on Thursday 7 May 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Claro Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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